Friday, April 25, 2014

Weekend Tornado Risk

Saturday's forecast is very difficult. Moisture will be low during the afternoon and the low pressure system in the upper atmosphere will be too far to the west to have maximum effect. While any afternoon thunderstorms that develop will be severe, I think they will be minimum. However, I am very concerned that severe thunderstorms, with a chance of tornadoes, may occur Saturday night in Kansas and Oklahoma.

Sunday is also a difficult forecast. There will likely be two, or perhaps three, areas of focused storms. There is a real threat of tornadoes on Sunday and Sunday night.
Because this is the first severe thunderstorm situation of the year in many locations, it is especially important to be alert.

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