Friday, December 31, 2021
Reminder: Overnight Tornado Threat
Betty White, RIP
HEADS UP: Tornado and Flood Risk Later Today and Tomorrow
Winter Storm Forecast for New Year's Weekend
Updated: NWS watches and warnings as of 10:25am.
Here is a color code:- Pink is winter storm warning.
- Deep green is a winter storm watch.
- Purple is a winter weather advisory (lesser condition)
- Green is a flood watch.
Here is the forecast snow accumulations.
Click to enlarge |
In all, this will be a major winter weather event. Tomorrow will be mild across the region and would be better for traveling, either by air or auto. I recommend considering an earlier departure if you were planning to travel this weekend.
Colorado's Horrific Marshall Fire
Thursday, December 30, 2021
Note to Readers
At 10:08pm, I'm still working on the forecasts.
I expect to have them posted by 10:45.
Note to Readers - Winter Storm Forecast
As of the 4pm data, my winter storm forecast (below) still looks pretty good. The amounts may be a bit greater in the heavier snow area and the icy area may need to be extended farther into Illinois.
Below is the current NWS watches and warnings. Click to enlarge.
I will make a new forecast late this evening.
Latest Review of "Warnings"
Wednesday, December 29, 2021
First Winter Storm Forecast Map
Updated Tornado Risk Forecast
Today's Tornado Risk
Tuesday, December 28, 2021
HEADS UP: Weekend Travelers
Here is the output of three of the primary models we use for medium range forecasting. All call for significant snows in the Friday (31st) through Sunday (2nd) period. But, there is little lock-on yet as to location of the heaviest of snows. Experience and model bias indicates the more southern models may be the more likely to be correct.
However, if you wish to avoid snow and ice, you may wish to travel Thursday or wait until the storm passes and road crews have about 12 hours to finish their work.
Tornado Risk in the South and Mid-South Tomorrow
Monday, December 27, 2021
How Medicine Got COVID Safety So Wrong and What to Do Now
ON FRIDAY, APRIL 30, the WHO quietly updated a page on its website. In a section on how the coronavirus gets transmitted, the text now states that the virus can spread via aerosols.. As Zeynep Tufekci noted in The New York Times, perhaps the biggest news of the pandemic passed with no news conference, no big declaration. If you weren’t paying attention, it was easy to miss.
But Marr was paying attention. She couldn’t help but note the timing. She, Li, and two other aerosol scientists had just published an editorial in The BMJ, a top medical journal, entitled “Covid-19 Has Redefined Airborne Transmission.” For once, she hadn’t had to beg; the journal’s editors came to her.
- Excellent ventilation: with outside or specially filtered air. The notion, spread by several politicians, that you should not go outdoors due to COVID risk is absurd. The wide open outdoors is one of the best things you can do for yourself. Open windows. Use fans. Put fans in windows.
- Masks: But, if you want to really protect yourself, use an N-95 mask that is well-fitted. Paper masks are okay. Cloth masks do little or nothing.
- Ultraviolet lights: Years ago, I read that these are very effective -- a point also made in Wired -- but had "fallen out of favor in the United States." The Wired article indicates that they are effective ways to kill disease. If you have an office or other place where people gather, look into it!
Sunday, December 26, 2021
Yes, A Tornado Struck Near Santa Barbara
Daily Mail |
Warnings: For Your Gift Cards
Sunday Fun: White House's Latest Attempt to Encourage Boosters
Saturday, December 25, 2021
Merry Christmas, Everyone!!
Friday, December 24, 2021
The TV Meteorologist Who Saved Lives in Kentucky
Thursday, December 23, 2021
Drought Ending in the West
Wednesday, December 22, 2021
UPDATED: Weather Pattern Change Coming
Here is the updated Palmer Drought Index with data as of the 16th.
Note there are now a few small areas of blue (wetter than average) in California and Nevada! The forecast precipitation for the next seven days calls excessive amounts along the West Coast.How? Magical Thinking!
Tuesday, December 21, 2021
Drought-Breaking Rain and Snow in the West the Next Seven Days
Monday, December 20, 2021
What Happened to Ham in Restaurants?
- Panera.
- Subway (UK).
- Hog Wild Bar-B-Que (Wichita, my home)
The Fragility of the Electric Grid
Sunday, December 19, 2021
Saturday, December 18, 2021
In Spite of What the MSM Says, the Recent Tornadoes Were Not Caused by Global Warming
Official NOAA data |