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The Most Violent Tornadoes Are LESS Common In Earth's Warmer Climate

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The usual suspects have tried to tie the recent onslaught of tornadoes to global warming. It is bad science for the reasons explained below. The Weather Science Let's begin with some basic meteorology: strong (F-2 and -3) and violent (F-4 and -5) tornadoes are caused by the contrast  in temperatures between the poles and the tropics. Bad tornadoes need an active jet stream to ventilate the top of severe thunderstorms. You can see the correlation pertaining to Saturday's tornadoes below. The strong jet stream is in the same general area as the tornadoes that killed 22 people. Tornadoes from 1pm Saturday to 7am Sunday Jet stream winds (250mb chart) up to 150 mph (scale is in knots) in the general  vicinity of Saturday's tornadoes The global warming hypothesis -- which has proven to be correct -- is that the poles would warm much more quickly than the tropics. That means there is, on average, less  temperature contrast between air masses and a less powerful jet stream. Thus, f

Angel Hernandez -- You're Outta Here!

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Even I can only write about tornadoes so much, so here is a sports diversion. It became official yesterday. Angel Hernandez, the worst umpire in modern baseball history, has -- at long last -- been ejected. Not only did he constantly make incorrect calls, he loved to eject players and managers who (correctly) complained. He even threw out the guy who led the fans in Take Me Out to the Ballgame! I wanted to "honor" him with some lowlights of his illustrious career. 

Last Update:: Houston, Southeast Texas and Louisiana

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The map is of "customers." A customer is one home or one business. This means about 2.5 million people  are without power at this time.  The same line of thunderstorms that caused so much damage in Dallas around sunrise is approaching from the north.  Wind gusts of 60-70 mph are possible. For more on the Texas tornado and damaging wind threat, go here . Bush Intercontinental has clocked a gust of 75 mph.  12:47pm: A severe thunderstorm watch, with tornadoes possible, has been issued for Louisiana. 

Note to Readers...

I take your feedback seriously so I've had Monumetric eliminate the video player. While that costs me some advertising revenue, it was becoming far too distracting. Thank you for your patience. 

Today's Tornado and Damaging Wind Risk; Updated 3:15pm

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1:55pm Update: Tornado Watch  is in effect for west Texas.  --- original posting --  I can't tell you how much I was hoping not to have to forecast a tornado forecast today but Mother Nature had other ideas. Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Forecast for Louisiana Tornado Risk The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes; most likely 4pm or after. Damaging Wind Risk Updated 3:10pm. The hatching means 75 mph wind gusts are forecast. Red is an enhanced  risk and yellow is a significant risk.

Catching Up After the Tornado Siege of 2024

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Thirty-two days of above normal numbers of tornadoes. While we have to wait for final numbers, this appears to be the worst period of tornadoes since the infamous year of 2011. Meteorologists east of the Rockies are exhausted, at least I certainly am.  That is not to say there won't be more tornadoes this year -- there certainly will be. But, I'm hoping we won't go through another period where the tornadoes are as continuous as the period just passed. Tornado Warnings The storm death toll in 2024, for the number of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms (our first lightning death in the U.S. didn't occur until Friday), appears to have been mitigated by what were quality warnings (with a few exceptions).  This Dallas Morning News  story is about Texas men getting a call from Oklahoma telling him they had ten minutes before the tornado struck. The men then warned other people, saving lives.  There are several points to consider here: Generally, people can get to safety with o

Global Warming: Is There Anything It Can't Do?!

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Without comment... I believe there is much more than a little truth in this cartoon.