NOAA You may have noticed several recent articles in which "science" supposedly attributed specific floods and wildfires (which were mostly started by arsonists) to climate change.  Single event attribution is meteorological voodoo . Nothing more.  If it was necessary to have climate change "boost" major storms the following could not have occurred. "Worst" was determined by the intensity of the event.  1871. Worst wildfire in the history of the United States. 1925. The worst tornado in the United States (and probably the world) in recorded history. 1927. The worst flood in the history of the United States.  1935. The worst hurricane in the history of the United States.  1930's. The worst drought and heatwave in the history of the United States.  Climate science says human-affected global warming began about 1958. All of these terrible events occurred without global warming's help.   Clarification:  1958 is intended to show the era it began, not ...

This is the latest update pertaining to Tropical Storm Bertha. It has peak winds of 60 mph (amber area) mostly south of its center (the X ). The forecast path has been shifted a bit to the north. Hurricane development is not  expected. 

We have two geographically large threats today. Tornado Risk The brown area has a significant risk of a tornado. Damaging Wind Risk The purple area has a high  risk of thunderstorm-generated wind gusts of 60 mph or stronger. The red area has an enhanced risk. The yellow area has a significant risk.  Power outages are quite likely. Please prepare accordingly. 

--- 3:25pm Post --- Note that in addition to tornadoes, tennis ball-sized hail and wind gusts to 75 mph are forecast to occur.  ------ The yellow area has an enhanced  tornado risk. In Iowa, the yellow area includes Waterloo and Charles City and nearly includes Dubuque and Mason City. The brown area has a significant tornado risk which, in Iowa, includes Ames, Marshalltown and Clear Lake. In Minnesota, the brown area includes Rochester.  The hatching means that any tornado that occurs in that area could be strong.  I will update occasionally on Twitter/X   @usweatherexpert  . 

While the tropical storm watches have been extended, the forecast peak winds with the system have been lowered. The greater threat with this system is possible heavy rain in Texas when it comes inland over the weekend or the first of next week. 

Via Bjorn Lomborg: Multiple scientists have pointed out that this year's wildfire activity is well below average. Plus, Canada's temperatures have averaged below  average so far in 2026.  The "global warming caused the Canadian wildfires" is the usual alarmist nonsense.