Posts

Today's Tornado Risk - Updated 7:50pm

Image
7:50pm, Additional Tornado Watch Another Tornado Watch Issued In Kansas, the watch includes Manhattan, Marysville, Plainville, Codell, Wilson Lake and Concordia.  Damaging Wind Threat Increased The pink area is an increase in the geographic area with a high threat of wind gusts to 85 mph into tonight. Please plan accordingly! 1:45pm update Please note, in addition to tornadoes, wind gusts of 85mph  and apple-sized hail are forecast to occur. Please keep a close eye on the weather in the yellow area.  11:40am This forecast was updated at 11:40am. The "significant area" was expanded to the east  Here are the colors and what they mean with this outlook: Red = high  risk of strong tornadoes (indicated by the hatching). Yellow = enhanced risk of strong tornadoes.  Brown = significant risk of strong tornadoes.  There is also the risk of very large hail (2" or larger in much of the hatched area). Please monitor the weather if you live in these areas. Importan...

Yes, Snow is in the Forecast!~

Image
This is the forecast radar for 10am MDT tomorrow (Monday). 

Monday's Tornado Risk - Preliminary Outlook

Image
The NWS is forecasting the potential for violent tornadoes over southeast Nebraska and in a band from northeast into south central Kansas.  The possibility exists for tornadoes from Wisconsin to northwest Texas.  The area where the most violent tornadoes are forecast to occur is the area with bold diagonal hatches from southeast Nebraska, into extreme northwest Missouri and into south central Kansas.  The dashed hatching is where strong tornadoes are forecast to occur. In the red area, there is a high  risk of tornadoes In the yellow area, there is an enhanced risk of tornadoes. In the brown area, there is a significant risk of tornadoes.  If I lived in the highest risk area, I would prepare by making sure my car can be put in the garage and I would bring in lawn furniture. I'd also go to the ATM and get some extra cash, if possible.  Finally, make sure your storm shelter area is ready to go. Always wear shoes, have a couple of bottles of water and some dia...

Note to Readers..... Tornado Risk Sunday and Monday

Image
There is a significant chance of tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging thunderstorm winds in the central United States both Sunday and Monday.  Below is a tornado forecast for Sunday and Sunday Night called "Nadocast." It is usually quite good. It is valid from 6:30a Sunday to 6:30a Monday.  Note that the highest probability is in northwest Iowa (hatching = strong tornado potential). But an enhanced risk (yellow) extends as far south as central Kansas.  I will more on these threats Sunday and Monday. 

Saturday's Tornado Risk

Image
The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes. Where you see the hatching, strong tornadoes may occur. Please keep up on the weather in this area. 

Today's Tornado Risk

Image
The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes later today and this evening. Please monitor the weather in this area. 

Movie About the D-Day Meteorologists

Image
This ought to be a great movie if it is well produced and directed. It is the gripping story about the meteorologists (one in particular) under extreme pressure to make the critical forecast for D-Day.  It opens in two weeks.