Hurricane WARNING for the Big Island!! Tropical Storm Watch for Maui and Lanai This is the latest observation of Tropical Storm Lala now has it at 60 mph winds. Flooding rains, with perhaps catastrophic flood levels, are likely on the Big Island. Be prepared to evacuate if you live in a low or flood-prone area. As 85 mph winds are forecast, a hurricane warning  has been issued for The Big Island (the Island of Hawaii). The amber color on the map is the region with 40 mph or stronger winds. Preparations on the Big Island should be completed by Friday evening at the latest.  A tropical storm watch has been issued for Maui and Lanai.  H = hurricane,  S = tropical storm. All of the Hawaiian Chain will experience dangerous surf and a storm surge.  The interaction with the mountains on the Island of Hawaii are expected to slightly weaken Lala. However, it will remain a strong tropical storm as it passes to the south. I will update the forecast tomorrow morning. 

Why is everyone complaining about the Flock cameras?! Shoutout to the @Citizens_Idaho production team for helping me film this! 🥳 #satire #idaho #conservative pic.twitter.com/39fDoC8AnB — In the Know Idaho (@intheknowidaho) August 6, 2026 This is a brilliant satire that I hope you'll enjoy. BTW, the license plate readers are wrong  71% of the time and a number of false arrests have already been documented. More than arrests, it seems dozens of police have already been caught tracking ex-wives, lovers, etc., etc., illegally.  Last week, all eight Flock cameras in Winona, Minn. were cut down. Here's the response from the police department. The police are going to reinstall the spy cameras without a second thought. What the citizens may want (note the cameras are never put up for a vote) doesn't figure in. And, if Flock gets run out of business, there are two other companies that do the same thing.  These are violations of our 4th Amendment rights ("secure in the...

You may have heard about the people celebrating because there was a tornado in Baltimore starting at 4:39pm Monday afternoon. They are saying things like "gotcha!" for those of us who criticized the warnings.  There's only one problem: The tornado warning for Baltimore was cancelled at 4:31pm, eight minutes before the tornado developed!    The official cancellation of the warning for Baltimore is below.  To reiterate the point: The National Weather Service had no valid tornado warning when the tornado occurred and the two original tornado warnings should not have been issued as there was no threat at that time. -- The Original Post is Below -- A pair of obviously false tornado warnings were issued by the National Weather Service (NWS) yesterday afternoon near Baltimore. I'd like to explain what went wrong and how it might be repaired going forward. The first issue Monday was the Sterling NWS radar was being operated at 4-minute intervals. Four minutes is too infreque...

Low Pressure Center One-C is at tropical storm strength. I believe it will be named Hernan   Iselle when the National Hurricane Center officially names it.  NHC has forecast peak sustained winds of 70 mph which seems reasonable. However.... because of the mountains, gusts as strong as 115 mph may occur those areas. I wish to emphasize that the potential exists that the potential Hernan could reach hurricane force just before reaching the islands.  Some of the computer models are bringing as much as 2 feet  of rain to the mountains of the Island of Hawaii (a/k/a "the Big Island") with lesser but still flood-producing rains on the islands farther to the northwest. The storm will begin to affect Hawaii on Friday.  Storm surge and high surf will be lift-threatening, especially on the east and south sides of the islands based on the current forecast path.  I'll have more tomorrow. 

-- This is a Preliminary Forecast -- The graphic is an "envelope" of solutions from the best models in the world regarding the potential track of a tropical storm or hurricane. The highest resolution forecasts are the thick blue, red and yellow lines. The green is just showers between now and the storm's arrival on the Island of Hawaii. The ECMWF model shows the current area of low pressure reaching hurricane force as it reaches the islands. In this case, the stronger winds will be on the north side of the storm's center. There will also be a significant storm surge.  We have a strong El Nino and climatology shows that is when the Hawaiian Islands are most likely to be hit.  I expect the National Hurricane Center will begin official advisories later today. I just wanted to give m my readers a "heads up."

There is a good chance that a tropical storm, or possibly a hurricane, will be approaching the Islands toward the weekend.  I will begin advisories tomorrow (August 12).