...this is required reading! And, whenever you hear this 'speculation' about President Trump using the Insurrection Act or other propaganda, keep in mind that those stories are intended to influence you against Trump even though Trump hasn't done anything along those lines. The left-wing MSM media is desperate to stay relevant and influential.  

As many of you know, I specialize in short term (7 days or less) forecasts of extreme weather and its effects. I do not do long range (beyond 10 days) forecasting. Nor do I publish others' forecasts because I cannot find any that have any consistent skill. This item, published last week, caught my eye. Compare the NOAA temperature forecasts to the actual results. Most are bad to terrible quality. These are temperature forecasts. The precipitation forecasts are even worse!   I've also kept track of the accuracy of several other sources of long range forecasts and they aren't any better. This includes The Farmer's Almanac  which is consistently awful.  Wish the results were better. Our society could save a lot of money with accurate long range forecasts. 

The heavy rain last week was accompanied by tornadoes, large hail and record flooding. More heavy rain is likely from the end of this week into early next week and, likely, beyond.  Below is are the forecast rainfall amounts for the next five days. Rivers are already high in the 4 Corners region so this heavy rain will worsen what has been record flooding in some areas. While forecasting beyond 5 days is dicey, here is the 6-10 day rainfall outlook. NOAA is portraying very high confidence of heavier than usual rainfall throughout the Southwest. This could turn into a record flood situation over a large geographic area. This is a result, in part, of the El Nino. As we, and others, have been saying: The only way to "fix" the terrible rain deficits in the Colorado River Basin is by flooding rains. This is going to be a problem throughout the winter! You will also recall the destructive tornadoes in the Southwest last week. More tornadoes are possible or even likely this week and...

I hope you will take a few minutes to browse my galley at Adobe Stock Photography .  There are about 250 curated images I believe you will enjoy. I also want to thank all of the people and/or enterprises who have licensed by stock photography the past few weeks. 

I think we have a new winner for dumbest road sign. Below, from 2023, is the previous winner. It drops to #2.

The Milwaukee Brewers won game 1 of the World Series last night. It was a thrilling, close game with a final score of 3-2 over the Rays.  I can just hear Bob Uecker up in Heaven (a/k/a, "the front row" ) saying, " Ya know [Saint] Pete, the team paid me a $50,000 bonus for this game. All I had to do is not come within 5 miles of the stadium!" Also, there was a faint sound I heard during last night's 5th inning. I think it was Bob shouting, He missed the tag, he missed the tag!