Posts

Worsening Weather Service Woes!

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National Weather Service Office in Cheyenne, Wyoming  In the United States right now, we have ... A tornado watch in New York state. Record flooding in parts of Texas.  A hurricane threat to Hawaii. Extreme heat in the Midwest  Yet, when you attempted to get un updated forecast from the NWS's Severe Storms Forecast Center this morning, you received this: Some of the SPC's forecasts were not available. That would be bad.  But -- worse -- the National Weather Service office in Cheyenne, Wyoming, has been down 54+ hours and counting!  The reason "Cheyenne" is red in this image is because its rather is not available. The office cannot create or send warnings, create or send forecasts or even  answer its phones!  While there is a backup office that is handling any storm warnings but they are doing it without being able to see the radar.  The National Weather Service is falling apart. Period. These issues are going to get someone ,or many someones, kill...

Strong Tornadoes Possible Upstate New York

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The threat increases through 7pm. More below. -- original post 5:45p --- Note that  strong tornadoes, 2" hail and 70 mph thunderstorm-generated winds are all forecast. At 5:46p, there are two tornado warnings in SW Ontario and these storms will move into New York in the next couple of hours. Please keep up on the latest weather information! Bright red polygons near Kitchener = tornado warnings. Dark red = tornado watches. 

Update 11:20a HST Wednesday: Heads Up: Hawaii. Hurricane Lowell is a Threat

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The National Hurricane Center is pulled their 5th day forecast (8am Monday) farther to the right (east) which would tend to increase the threat to the western Hawaiian Islands.  If you have travel plans, please consider the threat from Hurricane Lowell. If I were vacationing on Kauai, I might consider heaving home now later than Sunday night.  If you live on Oahu or Kauai, please consider preliminary preparations.  11am Hawaii time photo Original Post: The two best hurricane forecasting models in the world show the potential for a major hurricane to pass near -- to the west -- of Hawaii Islands. However,  the trend of the models has been for a gradual shift east in the track forecast. The latest ECMWF wind speed swath forecast is below. About the only time Hawaii gets major hurricanes, which almost always come from the south, is during El Nino years and we have a strong El Nino at this point.  The timing of the approach Hurricane Lowell will be the early part of...

250th Trains: The Coolest Thing I've Seen in a Long Time

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America's Railroads Celebrate America's 250th This occurred Friday evening. It is an event for the North Carolina Transportation Museum. Each of the railroads that painted one or more locos to celebrate America paraded their engines at this event with horns blaring. 

Edouard Now Inland - 5pm Update

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The National Hurricane Center did a great job with this one.  5pm. Appears the storm is still strengthening. Port Arthur just reported a wind gust of 90 mph.  5pm Radar It came inland at the Texas-Louisiana border and has been producing gusts up to 71 mph.  The storm is forecast to move northwest and dissipate by the time it reaches the general vicinity of the Metroplex. Heavy rain will occur along its path.  The forecast for Edouard is below. It depicts the dissipation area.

Edouard Strengthening as of 9am

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Winds are now up to 50 mph and the pressure has dropped to 1000 mb. It continues to move northwest and will make landfall near the TX-LA border.  Unfortunately, I will not be able to provide updates until mid- to late afternoon. 

Hurricane Watch for Tropical Storm Edouard - 11pm Monday

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However, the storm is forecast to reach tropical storm force ("S") before it crosses the coast. It will weaken back to a tropical depression ("D") before it reaches Dallas.  The small pink area is where a hurricane watch is in effect. The blue = tropical storm warning. Here is a forecast of rainfall amounts. Fortunately, the heaviest rain is forecast to miss the Hill Country where so much flood suffering has occurred the past 18 months.