Posts

Showing posts from July, 2024

Another Unwarned Tornado -- Rome, New York

Image
"This is the Worst [ever] Event to Hit the City of Rome"                   -- Governor Kathy Hochul Tornado damage in Rome, NY. Photographer unknown, via Twitter and NWS. An EF-2 intensity tornado struck Rome, NY yesterday afternoon  without an advance warning from the National Weather Service. Based on my analysis, a warning should have been issued before it touched down in the city at 3:25pm EDT. Unfortunately, the warning was issued -- at best -- at 3:25 (zero lead-time) and may have been as late as 3:28pm ( negative three minutes lead-time). The National Weather Service's (NWS) published lead-time goal is 13 minutes.  In addition, a severe thunderstorm watch -- as opposed to a tornado watch -- was in effect.  At least four tornadoes actually occurred. As I have expressed on numerous occasions: if that NWS believes multiple tornadoes are going to occur, they should issue a tornado watch. A severe thunderstorm watch does not get the attention received by a tornado watc

From the National Hurricane Center.....

Image
... this is what we like to see!!!

Using "Twisters" to Hype Global Warming

Image
You knew global warming alarmists couldn't resist.  "Twisters" publicity shot According to an article in Nature ,  the new movie Twisters  comes out Friday and mostly "gets the science right" about tornadoes and climate change. I have not seen the movie yet (really looking forward to it) and so I am relying on the Nature article to clarify the science.  Tornado Alley Has Shifted to the Southeast Where the Threat is Higher Due to Mobile Homes and Other Factors. This is old news. How old? 49 Years!  In 1975 , Dr. Ted Fujita, along with co-authors Allen Pearson and David Ludlum, documented that tornado alley "shifts," primarily from the Great Plains to the Southeast. Their data went back to 1916. So far in 2024, the Great Plains have had a big tornado year with the Southeast much below normal. Phased Array Radar.  This is not used in real time. It is a research test product and have been in test mode at the National Severe Storms Laboratory (NSSL) almost

The Summer Winds

Image
When Frank Sinatra sang his classic, Summer Wind , I don't believe this is what he had in mind.   Again today, we have multiple areas where damaging thunderstorm-generated winds are forecast to occur.  There are already thunderstorms in the yellow area from Kansas City and points east. Power failures have already occurred.  The rest of the yellow areas are where severe wind-producing thunderstorms will occur later today. The red area in the Northeast has an enhanced  risk of damaging winds.  There are still people in Texas without power from Hurricane Beryl ten days ago.  Northern Illinois was hard hit from last night's derecho.  Electric crews are being stretched to the limit with restorations these days. 

John Kerry: Climate Hypocrite

Image
John Kerry, former "climate czar" for President Biden, who is fond of telling us we need to cut our use of petroleum products  , has been caught -- again-- behaving in a breathtakingly hypocritical manner.  Mr. " I don't own a private plane " Kerry, as he usually does, took one of his wife's  private jets all the way to -- get this -- India for a wedding of the son of an oil billionaire!   The story is here .  Keep in mind that Mr. Kerry could have flown to India in first class on Emirates Airlines, for example, for far less money in total luxury and privacy as they have private first class cabins (below). They even have on-board showers and a private lounge! Kerry, like Al Gore, Oprah, Bill Gates, and so many of the global warming zealots, is a hypocrite. While they have carbon footprints the size of Alaska, people like Gates want us to eat bugs and force us to purchase expensive, inconvenient electric vehicles -- not to mention giving up many of our free

UPDATE #4 at 8pm: Dangerous Situation With Tornado Watch Until 1am

Image
Yellow area has an enhanced  risk of tornadoes -- some may be strong. Brown = significant risk of tornadoes. Tornado watch till 1am for much of this area.  -- out of date as of 8pm -- The amber is a tornado watch until 1am. It includes Chicago, Peoria and South Bend. In addition to tornadoes the NWS is forecasting widespread wind gusts of 90 mph.  --- info below still valid as of 7pm --- A derecho has formed in Iowa with tornadic supercells out ahead. Multiple tornado and high wind warnings are out as of 5:30pm.  Tornado Threat The yellow is an enhanced  risk of tornadoes and it would not surprise me if some of them turn out to be strong. Northern Illinois is the area I've been concerned about since the midday update (see below, if you wish). The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes.  Damaging Wind Forecast With a derecho in progress, it is important to understand the color codes: Purple = high  risk of wind gusts of 75 mph or stronger.  Red = enhanced risk  of wind gusts

Congratulations MSNBC!

Image
The headline of this piece is two words I never thought I would write. That said, let's give credit where it is due! Yesterday, I wrote about the odious coverage of the attempted assassination by a number of news outlets. Given the amount of hate that spews each morning from Morning Joe , it is a solid, responsible decision to pull it this morning. Let's stop the insults and cover the genuine issues going forward.  Thank you, MSNBC. Keep up the good work! While on the topic, after posting yesterday's piece I became aware of the Washington Post's  horrible full-page attack on former President Trump published yesterday -- the day after  he was shot.  I can't understand why Jeff Bezos allows this to continue, especially yesterday. I cancelled my subscription last night 

Gaming the System to Produce Phony High Temperature Records

Image
Please read this thread. 

Exactly Right

Image

The Media's Vile Assassination Coverage

Image
  I wanted to allow things to cool a bit before following up on yesterday’s near-assassination of former President Trump. Now is the time for some essential points to be made.  Because I hear from them more often than I do the R’s and C’s that read this blog, I know we have many D and L readers. Some of them are wonderful people, even friends. But it is time for those whose politics are on the left side of the aisle to do some serious soul searching -- and it is time to do so without, “Well, but…..!’s.” R’s and, especially, C’s in the Trump era have gone from disliking the mainstream media to, in many cases, despising it. Consider the front page of this morning’s  Denver Post: ·        The Headline:  Their concern is over the  gunman  not the former President nor the people struck by the would-be assassin’s bullets; a former fire chief (who died shielding his daughter) and the two who were seriously injured. Let this sink in: The editors’  primary concern was the gunman!! ·        The

Sunday Fun: Should You Take Investment Advice From People Who Put us $35 TRILLION in Debt?

Image
Not me!!

There Has Been an Assassination Attempt on Former President Trump -- Shooter Reported Dead -- Eyewitness Report of Shooter Added - President Biden's Statement

Image
5:30pm CDT.  More info, here . He evidently was hit in the right ear but doesn't appear to be seriously injured. He was in Pennsylvania at the time.  5:38pm. "Loud Noises." Ridiculous headline (as you would expect) from the WaPo considering the blood on the president. He appeared to be hit by something in the right ear and, possibly, cheek.  6:08pm. There is video of an individual being dragged from the venue by law enforcement here . 6:12pm. There are two eyewitness reports of two people shot in the crowd and, perhaps, seriously injured.  6:19pm. WaPo continuing to embarrass itself with CNN joining in.  These are current  headlines. And, the MSM (specially NBC this evening) wonders why R's and C's dislike them.  6:23pm:  ABC reporting the shooter is dead and that at least one spectator is dead and, perhaps a second spectator dead.  6:24pm:  Confirmed... still no response from President Biden or the White House.  6:44pm: Alejandra has 164,000 followers on Twitter

Hurricane Season 2024: What We Like to See!

Image
Nothing expected the next seven days!

Wind Turbine Executes a Bird

If you have the stomach for it, the video is here .  Explain again: How are these things good for the environment?!

Kansas: A Wonderful Place to Live!

Image
Kansas has been rated the 7th best place in the world  to watch sunsets.  From Facebook ,  You can see a number of my sunset photos, here . 

Wall Street Journal + CenterPoint Energy = Hiding the Ball

Image
We've all seen magicians and the "hidden ball trick. The Wall Street Journal  hides the ball in this story about Houston's energy reliability. The Journal's  article about the crisis in Houston pertaining to CenterPoint Energy's latest power outages -- due to Hurricane Beryl -- hides the ball by not mentioning a key factor. As has become all too typical in the Journal's reporting recently , climate change is blamed for things that have little or nothing to do with climate as last month's story does.  This latest story says,  During the same period, CenterPoint documented 15 extreme weather events around Houston including hurricanes, ice storms and tornadoes. It took CenterPoint at least two days to restore power following six of the events, with outages lasting for more than four days after two major storms in 2021... “We’re going to be dealing with more of these storms, which means we either need to start burying more lines or hardening the system even m

Validating the Independent Beryl Forecast

Image
As you know, when we make an independent forecast during a major storm, we validate and grade it. Here is the forecast we made during during Beryl which departed significantly form the National Hurricane Center's (NHC). This was their 10am forecast made on the 3rd.  By that time the models and a couple of "pattern recognition" rules of thumb indicated there was an increasing risk the storm center could move ashore anywhere in Texas.  This is our Beryl forecast from 10:30am. The green arrow indicates the location of landfall, In addition to alerting the actual area of landfall, we lowered the risk for a small area of northeast  Mexico. I will give this forecast an A-. The "minus" is because I didn't move the southern edge far enough north.  I felt it was too soon to provide an educated guess at to wind speeds. Subsequent forecasts centered around 90 mph. We do not yet have the official analysis from NHC, so I will give this a preliminary grade of B+ as some