The entire email and related information are here . For an interesting analysis, see this .  As Iran is known for cyberattacks. If the U.S. attacks Iran, don't be surprised if they respond which means there is the possibility for the types of supply interruptions we had during COVID.  If you are low on gas for your car, prescription medicines, etc., you might want to go ahead and purchase them now. 

It is a Friday during Lent and Catholics cannot eat meat. So, Kathleen and I go to McDonald's once or twice for fast food fasting. This year, it seems they are smaller to both of us but McD's official info says no. From Grok: According to McDonald's official nutrition data and statements, the Filet-O-Fish sandwich has not changed in size, ingredients, or build since at least the early 2000s, including between 2020 and 2026. The company has explicitly denied shrinkflation claims, attributing perceived differences to variations in preparation, bun steaming, or individual assembly at restaurants.   Nutrition profiles (a reliable proxy for portion consistency) remain virtually identical, with no adjustments to calories, macros, or serving details that would indicate a reduction. However, consumer complaints and independent weigh-ins suggest otherwise, with many reporting the sandwich feels noticeably smaller in recent years (2023–2026), often described as "slider-sized...

There are ~200 carefully curated images with no special effects. The scenes were as they appeared at the time. While there are many subjects, they focus on weather and climate.  By the way, don't forget our books: Warnings: The True Story of How Science Tamed the Weather When the Sirens Were Silent, The Story of the Joplin Tornado Please take a look!

Courtesy of one of our alert readers, Canada is ending its weather radio network as of March 16. Canada's network has been patterned after NOAA Weather Radio network in the United States. After more than 60 years, the NOAA network has never achieved market penetration of more than 3% (percent of households actually using it). The reasons are many but the number one reason is that it triggers its loud tone in the middle of the night for storms the users don't care about. I know that's the reason we discontinued using it.  Grok agrees: The advantage of weather radios is that they will let you know (without you doing anything) when a dangerous condition approaches. But they are -- at best -- countywide and they cannot separate hazards (e.g., they alert for a severe thunderstorm warning regardless of whether it is one inch hail or whether it is 90 mph winds).  One would think that NOAA would be moving on to satellite or newer technology with more geographic precision but they s...

I was delighted to appear on Lisa Teachman's podcast yesterday. Please click on the link and  tune in when you have a chance.  Reader Comment:

The Amazing Forecast Harlem The National Weather Service and the larger meteorological community deserves a great deal of credit for the advance forecast of the blizzard. It undoubtedly saved lives, mitigated inconvenience (flights canceled in advance rather than stranding people at airports), and decreased property losses.  Still, the best forecast cannot make up for utter, tragic incompetence. Roughly, 1.5 million people  (not "customers") are without power at this time. Local media in the Northeast are estimating it will take up to six days to get all of the lights on. Hopefully, the advance forecast urging people to obtain prescription refills, fill gas tanks, et cetera, was helpful and mitigated the effects of the outages.  Global Warming On February 5, I ran this piece: And, this morning, -- more predictably than the weather -- some climate group sent this out: This isn't climate change. It is weather. But science quality doesn't matter when trying to raise fun...

The blizzard is finally moving northeast out of the region. This will be my last update on the snow. I'll have an update on the snow amounts this evening. 

Blizzard of 2026 7pm: Queens was already reporting a 6" accumulation. About 126,000 people are already without power from New Jersey and states south of there. That number will grow significantly during the night as the winds come up and accumulations increase. The wind is now gusting to 35 mph at LaGuardia.  The above map is the additional  snow forecast from 9pm to the end of the storm. For example, NYC had 4-6" as of that time with an additional 17" forecast to fall, bringing the storm total to 21 to 23 inches.  The photo below was taken at 7pm on Manhattan.  NWS Warning Map Above are National Weather Service warnings: Orange = blizzard warning Pink = winter storm warning Purple == winter weather advisory Dark blue (Buffalo) = winter storm watch for lake effect snows Note the blizzard warnings are extended into coastal Maine.  The storm has organized quickly the past three hours. Radar is from 9:32pm. This is about how the radar will look 7am Monday. My advic...

You might have seen the thing going around the internet recently where people list famous people who they have encountered during their lives.  I thought I would go ahead and post mine. I suspect I have been luckier than most. They are in no order.  Jessie Jackson Bob Newhart Drew Carey Rick Nelson President Reagan Buzz Aldrin Stevie Wonder   Willard Scott   Harry Hamlin (rescued him when his arm was stuck in an elevator door!) Hannah Jeter   Dr. Ted Fujita   Kristin Chenoweth   Ginger Zee Dave Barry   Barry Switzer   Barry Sanders   Vice President Humphrey John Lloyd Young Wayne Knight (Newman!) Tony Bennett Karen Carpenter Len Dawson  John Coleman  Mike Holmgren Roger Maris 

A Nor'easter is going to bring blizzard conditions to tens of millions in the Northeast starting Sunday afternoon and not ending until Tuesday before exiting into the Atlantic.  Travel will be crippled and there will be a few power outages. I urge you to make preparations now.  New York Tri-State Snow Amount Forecast The forecast amount for Central Park is 18" with drifting due to wind gusts to 45 mph. Many roads, particularly on Long Island will be closed due to blowing and drifting snow.  Regional Storm Warnings - Updated 2:25pm Color code: Orange = blizzard warning  Pink = winter storm warning  Dark blue = winter weather advisory Light green = coastal flood watch  Green = flood watch 3pm: The blizzard warnings have been extended again, now from DelMarVa to northeast Massachusetts. Most of inland New Jersey now included.  Forecast Snow Amounts New York City will have between 14 and 23 inches [updated 4:15pm] depending on which part of the city and th...

The NWS has issued a blizzard warning for New York City and other coastal areas in the region.  I'm working on a forecast update. 

Wichita State has an outstanding  engineering department. Once a year they hold an Introduce a Girl to Engineering Day  and this year it is March 12.  This is a national level event. If you have a young lady who might be interested, click the link above for more information. 

The purple and pink in New England are for the light to moderate snows forecast tonight and Saturday.  The rest of the watches and advisories are due to the Nor'easter that looks increasingly likely for Sunday night into Tuesday.  Note: if you are planning to fly to, or change planes in, Washington, Philly, Newark/NYC, Providence or Boston during this period, you may wish to make alternate plans. For example, if you are planning to change planes on United at Newark, I'd check to see if you can route yourself through Chicago to avoid the storm. The latest data indicate that heavy snow is likely to fall between Sunday afternoon and Tuesday in the area indicated below. Probability of Transportation Disruptions  Probably of significant or major travel issues. Odds of heavy snow combined with strong winds are increasing.  30 knots = 35 mph.  50 knots = 58 mph. Below is the 2-day forecast for snow in the Northeast By the way, you may have been reading about the "model...

Thunderstorms are already developing. Please monitor the weather in this area. I am posting additional information on Twitter/X  @usweatherexpert .

Here are the color codes: Pink = winter storm warning, 4-8" of snow. Purple = winter weather advisory  Magenta = "Red Flag" (wildfire) forecast Sand = wind advisory  I am posting additional information on Twitter/X @usweatherexpert .

The yellow hatched area has an enhanced  risk of strong tornadoes. The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes.  As of 11:05am, strong tornadoes storms had already developed in the St. Louis area. Those will move east and intensity this afternoon. Please keep up on the latest weather information.  I am posting additional information on Twitter/X  @usweatherexpert . * Thanks to the reader who pointed out my error in the second paragraph. 

The Pending Storm in South Lake Tahoe This storm is striking the West Coast states now and will move east. A variety of meteorological ills will result. Thursday's Tornado Risk The area in brown has a significant risk of tornadoes Thursday, especially in the afternoon and evening hours. Please keep up on the local weather tomorrow.  Thursday and Friday's Snow Forecast The map shows the amount of snow forecast to fall over the next two days. The moisture is desperately needed in Colorado and Utah as well as Wyoming and Nebraska.  Fire Weather Forecast for Thursday The area in red has a critical  wildfire danger Thursday, especially from late morning through the afternoon. Please do everything possible to prevent wildfires, especially outdoor grilling or other fires, tossing cigarette butts or dragging chains. 

The "Ranger Road Fire" The giant orange scar (it is black in real life if viewed from an airplane) -- which indicates the ground is still warm from the fire -- is the area burned by yesterday and today's fire. Two fire fighters from Kansas were injured but not seriously. Fire fighters from Oklahoma were also injured but I have not been able to ascertain their condition at this time. Most of the firefighters in the region are volunteers.  Update: Here is a map of the area burned, so far.  The forecast for the rest of the day is at the bottom of this post.  Jadan Pappenheim took a video that is available here . A screen capture (below) doesn't even begin to capture the vastness of the fire.  The aftermath is heartbreaking. The smaller Tyrone, OK fire (not known on satellite image) did the damage shown below. The video is here .   Forecast Until 6am Thursday It is vital that everything possible be done to avoid sparks be done until tomorrow morning in these areas....