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Showing posts from June, 2024

New Photos Added to My Collection

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We've had more photos added to my stock photography collection . With the wheat harvest in progress, here are a couple of sample photos you may wish to consider.  You'll find a large variety of images at the above link.

8:20pm -- Florida Flood Update

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The Heaviest Rains Have Moved South of Miami. Below is the rainfall for the 12 hours ending at 8pm.  72-hour rainfalls are in excess of 20 inches in places! The update below was posted at 7:15pm Extreme flooding for parts of Miami-dade and Broward Counties.  This is a life-threatening situation.  6:35pm: Forecast is For More Heavy Rain Next Three Hours in the Area Outlined in Purple. The Heaviest Rains are Along and  South of Alligator Alley NWS assessment at 5pm: Below is the map of 12hr hour rainfall to 6pm. As much as 14 inches have fallen near the Dade-Broward border at the coast. Here is the latest flight information 7p. Many flights are cancelled. Among those that are not: At Ft. Lauderdale, among the flights that aren't cancelled, there is an average seven hour  delay.  Here is the radar from7pm. Torrential rains continue to fall.  Earlier Updates: The heavy rains continue to fall in southern Florida. Below are the rainfall amounts over the past three days ending at noon. So

7:06pm Update --Today's Tornado Risk

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Tornado Watch: Minnesota and Wisconsin This watch is in effect until 10pm CDT. In addition to "a couple of tornadoes," hail to 4 inches in diameter and wind gusts of 75 mph are forecast to occur.  --- original posting (still valid) --- There is a risk of tornadoes in the U.S. border area. This is a heavy recreational area.  The brown area of northeast Minnesota and adjacent areas of far northwest Wisconsin have a significant risk of tornadoes beginning in mid-afternoon.  This map is hail risk. Where you see hatching, hail larger than two inches in diameter is forecast to occur. The red area has an enhanced  risk. The yellow area has a significant risk.  If you live in the area, please make sure you monitor the weather in the region. If you know of people camping or boating in the area, please try to get hold of them to insure they monitor the weather. 

Faith and Climate: This is Extremely Unfortunate

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As Pope Francis didn't define "deniers," we have no idea to what/whom he was referring. Two of his primary climate advisors are (highly unfortunately) Al Gore and Naomi Oreskes, neither of whom are climate scientists. Oreskes is an atheist and I don't know Gore's current thinking regarding faith. Francis can and should get better advisors.  With the above said, please allow me to clear up a recent controversy on Twitter. When Pope Francis says these things they are not  infallible statements. We Catholics believe the Pope is infallible only in narrow circumstances which are, He must be talking about faith or morals. Science doesn't count.  He must be speaking Ex Cathedra , which is in his official capacity and through an official document such as an encyclical. This qualifies as neither. And, while on the subject, Dr. Katharine Hayhoe frequently uses her (alleged) Christianity to justify her, sometimes extreme, positions on global warming. I don't know why

Florida and Gulf Coast Heavy Rains

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This forecast has been updated. Please  go here for later version.  Heavy Rain Forecast for the Next Seven Days That's an additional 10-15 inches of rain over the next seven days over the southwest coast of Floria with heavy rain also expected (more than 5 inches') in parts of Louisiana and coastal Mississippi over to Mobile.  In Florid as of 3:40pm, there are two bands of heavy to torrential rains.  There is also a small tornado threat in south Florida. I'll update again tomorrow morning. 

Must EVERYTHING Be About Global Warming?!

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Good grief!!

11:30pm Update - Extreme Rainfall Forecast for Florida

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11:30pm radar: The rains are getting started.  --- original posting still valid --- Florida has been suffering from drought recently.  The good news is that rain is on the way. The bad news is that it will probably be too much, too fast in many parts of the southern Peninsula. Below is the NWS's rainfall forecast for the next seven days.  Here is a close-up of the forecast rain in the south. The storms begin tonight.  Please don't consider these forecast amounts to be exact. However, a major rain event is extremely likely, so please prepare accordingly. 

This is Why Meteorologists Say May was an Extremely Busy Month

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May of 2024 had the 4th most (preliminary) tornadoes of any May since 1950. April and May, combined, had the second most.  Trying to keep up with all of this, for meteorologists, meant quite a few 15 hour days. This means meteorologists with the National Weather Service, television stations and commercial meteorologists. Combine the work of meteorologists with storm spotters/chasers and emergency managers and they make up America's storm warning system. They deserve everyone's appreciation.  

Exposed: NOAA's 'Billion Dollar Disasters'

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Dr. Roger Pielke, Jr. has published a paper in Natural Hazards  titled Scientific Integrity and U.S. Billion Dollar Disasters ,  exploring the fraud (my characterization) that is NOAA's " Billion Dollar Disasters ," a frequent topic of this blog.  To give you an example of how NOAA twists information to create a 'billion dollar' disaster, consider: The 2011 Joplin Tornado or 2022's hurricane Ian were both genuine billion dollar disasters.  Now, look at the map below, specifically the item in the upper left corner, "Rockies Hail Storms, Central and Eastern Severe Weather, June 21-26." Combining unrelated weather events over a period of days does not a billion dollar disaster make. These are all over the map.  Because NOAA wants to show an upward trend (they use this to try to justify the claim that climate change is causing worsening disasters), they combine more and more of these typical meteorological events to manufacture a billion dollar disaster.

Mike Morgan and I Discuss the Historic Tornadoes of June 8, 1974

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Left is storm chaser and documentarian Colton Cravens and right is Mike Morgan The telecast was done from the Drumright, OK Museum If you are a meteorologist, storm chaser or weather aficionado, you've got to watch this telecast about the events of June 8, 1984; a historic day in the field of meteorology and television storm warnings.  The link is here . As it was informal, the first few minutes were set-up, so drop in at about the five-minute mark. You'll enjoy it, I believe. 

Sunday Fun: Attention, Cooks Across America!

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Here's my hamburger order. Please write it down now when you aren't under pressure.  Hamburger, no cheese Ketchup Mustard Tomato I don't want them, but it is not a mortal sin if you mistakenly add, Cheese Pickles  You will need to go to Confession if you add: Lettuce, but it's forgivable.  Same with onions. What is not  forgivable is MAYONNAISE!!!!   Bruce Willis is completely correct! And, be sure to watch the video through the scene that starts at 1:25. It seems many or most women like mayo and lettuce on their burgers and that's fine . But, they (and I happen to know that both cooks were women this week) seem to have difficulty preparing burgers without those two condiments.  I'm a generous tipper. I go ahead and tip (20%) the server because he/she should not suffer because the cook mis-prepared the hamburger. But, I get really  generous when it is prepared properly and the service is good. Capice?!

10:20pm CDT Update Derecho, With Tornado Threat, Kansas to Ozarks

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10:25pm Forecast Update Here is my forecast from now until 3am. In supercells ahead of the line of thunderstorms, a tornado is possible and it is also possible a tornado could be embedded in the derecho. The air is highly unstable over south central Kansas and (for meteorologists): The 0-1km SRH at Wichita is 319 and has been rising.  Please make sure you have at least three ways of receiving warnings during the night. Power outages are certainly possible.  8pm Update: I agree with the addition of tornadoes to the threat. Data the last few hours indicates they are a possibility. NWS is forecasting gusts to 80 mph, I think 90 mph is possible in a few places. NWS is also forecasting tennis ball-sized hail. Note: NWS in Goodland, KS just issued a severe thunderstorm warning for 100 mph winds! This is a serious situation.  Please make sure you have at least three ways of receiving warnings during the night,. Power outages are certainly possible.  5:30pm Update: This is Part 1 for the Ozark

June 8, 1974: "The Day Television Weather Grew Up"

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Saturday is the 50 th  anniversary of one of the most important days in both the history of television meteorology and of the science of storm warnings. I happened to be in the right place at the right time; it was the most important day of my professional life.   The full story is  here .    The story begins when Dr. John McCarthy, my atmospheric physics professor during my final semester at the University of Oklahoma, had recommended we rethink how we would handle a major tornado outbreak after he returned from investigating the April 3-4, 1974, tornado “ Superoutbrea k .” I was then the weekend meteorologist at WKY-TV (now KFOR) in Oklahoma City. One of the things he urged me to consider was, “When there are multiple tornadoes, forget the severe thunderstorm warnings!” I resolved to do so if I was ever in that situation.    I took John's advice to heart and gave it a lot of thought. There was no way of knowing I would need it just weeks later.    On Friday, June 7, the weather m

1:35pm Update Thursday: Rotation/Tornado Tracks: West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland and Delaware

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Washington Post  headline from 10pm EDT. Map has been updated as of 11pm EDT. There is high-quality video here .  There has been a rash of tornadoes in the Middle Atlantic area this evening. These are the rotation/tornado tracks. The southernmost has been a long-track supercell that produced multiple tornadoes, including in the City of Baltimore. That supercell produced the Gaithersburg Tornado. There were also tornadoes in the Midwest, including in Ohio this evening along with this tragedy in Detroit. 

Note to Readers...

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Now that we are past the last six weeks of non-stop tornadoes, I am going to take a little break from daily posting -- unless some unexpected major weather should come up.  I think you'll like the special feature that will come up tomorrow and last to Saturday.  Then, back to regular blogging on Sunday.