Update on Missouri Flash Flood

Here is the radar at 9:29pm. I have plotted the 3" amount line and 5" amount line. There are a number of areas of 7" plus within the 5 inch area.

US 69 is already flooded. There is the potential for I-35 to flood overnight. A few spots may receive storm totals of ten inches. Remember: Turn around, don't drown. 

Because the rivers flow generally from north to south, rivers will rise rapidly later tonight and tomorrow  morning. If you live near a river that tends to flood, you may have to move to higher ground.

Flash Flood Threat

There is a serious flash flood threat developing in northern Missouri and far southern Iowa about halfway between Des Moines and Kansas City.

The radar echoes are from 8:15pm CDT. The area outlined in blue is the area at greatest risk for flash flooding. More than 5 inches have already fallen in parts of the area and an additional 7 to isolated 10 inch total rainfalls are possible. Rainfall in the area has been heavier than normal the last five days.

With darkness falling, please do not try to travel in this area (including I-35). If you encounter water over a road, turn around, don't drown!

Tornado Watch: Chicago and Rockford

This is the fourth tornado watch of the day.

In effect until midnight. Please keep up on the latest information.

Tornado Watch #3

The tornado watch includes Madison and western suburbs of Milwaukee.

Second Tornado Watch Issued

This tornado watch is in effect until 10pm and includes western Wisconsin and far eastern Minnesota including the eastern part of the Twin Cities area.

Large Tornado Watch for the Midwest

This watch extends from Omaha and Tarkio to almost Madison, Wisconsin.

At 3:02pm, thunderstorms are rapidly developing in the west and north part of the threatened area. Recommend monitoring local weather information sources.

Midwest Tornado Risk

The area in brown has a significant risk of tornadoes later today.

So, if you live in the area from Madison to Omaha and Tarkio, please keep up on local weather warnings.

Looks Like New Hard Cover Copies of "Warnings" are Gone

The "1 to 3 weeks" (at right) means that none of their suppliers has a copy. It is unlikely they will find one.

So, if you want to read Warnings, I recommend you save about $10 (over the hard cover version) and get the ebook version. It has more photographs than the hard cover book and you do not need a Kindle or Nook to read it. You can use the free Amazon Kindle Cloud Reader. With the Cloud Reader, the pages will look exactly the same as if you had a Nook or Kindle.

Gorgeous Time Lapse

Take just two minutes and 15 seconds and watch this. It is a supercell (with tornado) forming and then merging with a second storm.

"The Science Police"

On highly charged issues, such as climate change and endangered species, peer review literature and public discourse are aggressively patrolled by self-appointed sheriffs in the scientific community.

A must-read article, here.

H/T: Judy Curry.

Update on Flooding Risk

Here is the 7-day rainfall amount forecast.

I continue to be worried about flooding from northern Missouri into Michigan (where rivers are already running high). In addition, it looks like an active week for severe thunderstorms starting tomorrow. I'll have more on that later in the day.

This Week's Rainfall

Looks like the Midwest is going to see another week of heavy rain.

No New Posting Today

Apologize for the lack of a posting today.

Thanks For the 5-Star Review

Thank you for the latest 5-Star Amazon review from a verified purchaser. It is much appreciated.

Ohio Valley Tornado Threat Today

There is an area with a significant tornado risk today and that is in the southern Ohio Valley.

If you live in the area shaded in brown, I recommend you keep an eye on the weather.