For Your Black Friday Shopping List....

If you wish to give a great, uplifting gift...

Here is a link to Amazon's page. 

This List is Garbage

For example, Tums, Pepto and aspirin have been around since the late 19th century. 

This list has been all over twitter the last couple of weeks. It is a hoax. I suspect, but cannot prove, it is from pro-abortion/pro-fetal research people to make us think we can't live without that type of research. 

Happy Thanksgiving From WKRP!

If you have never seen it, this is unquestionably the best Thanksgiving sitcom episode of any series. It is from WKRP in Cincinnati -- a struggling rock and roll radio station -- what tries to turn around its ratings with a Thanksgiving promotion that goes hilariously wrong. Enjoy!

Happy Thanksgiving!!

Thanksgiving is a uniquely American holiday and one of my favorites. Let's all be thankful for the blessings of liberty and prosperity. We need to work hard to keep them. 

Thought For the Day

Hope Your Thanksgiving Travels Are in the Right Directions. 

This is Part of President Biden's "Build Back Better" Plan -- Really

I promise, every one of those extra IRS employees will be up to no good and monitoring our every moves. Call your Senator or send them an email. 
 

An Amazingly Calm Thanksgiving Week

Above is the precipitation (rain and melted snow) amounts forecasted to fall between now and 7pm Saturday. With the exception of the windward wide of the Cascades in Washington, no exception amounts are forecasted to fall. 

There will be some snow in the highest elevations of the Northwest but that's pretty much it between now and 6pm Wednesday.

However, if you are traveling across the central Great Plains, there will be strong south winds tomorrow. Be careful if you are traveling in a high-profile vehicle. 

Safe travels!

The Big in "Big Climate"

The campaign to shake down people, government agencies and institutions for global warming dollars continues to spend giant sums. 

The $2.4 billion is only the part that is spent on propaganda and marketing. This does not include money spent on research, windmills, solar, etc., etc. 

Why do they spend these monster sums? They aren't stupid -- they are savvy businesspeople. They make the investment because they want to force government and companies to spend even more than the trillions that have already been spent. 

These organizations especially like global warming funding because it is rife with corruption (a topic for another essay) and intimidation. 

Thanksgiving Travel Update

Between now and Saturday, rainfall in the Northwest will be sufficient to cause at least localized flooding. 

Here is this week's rainfall for the entire nation. 

Safe Travels. 

Sunday Fun: Your In-Home Bowling Alley

I ran across this video the other day. If I were filthy rich, I would have a bowling alley in my home. The video shows what the installation of one would be like. 

There is a company that does this, full time. The link goes to their pricing page so you can see what that luxury costs. 

I can dream....

No Major Pre-Thanksgiving Travel Weather Problems

No major snow or rain issues between now and Thanksgiving. Below is the total precipitation between now and 6pm Wednesday. 

Here is the forecast weather for Wednesday. 

Here is a forecast of high temperatures for the day before Thanksgiving. 

Happy Travels!!

"Entire Nations Wiped Off the Face of the Earth"

Click and read for yourself. Note the date. 

A First Look at the Thanksgiving Period Weather

This is for Wednesday, November 24 to Sunday, 28th.

Temperature

Precipitation

I'll have more tomorrow for planing your holiday travel. 

Ketchup - Is There Anything It Can't Do?!

Every time I think the global warming alarmists can't get any more absurd, they exceed my expectations. 

In Need of Great Photography??

From my collection at Adobe Stock photography

If you are in the market for stock photography, please check out my collections. Adobe Stock Photography, is here.

My Shutterstock photos are here. 

From my Shutterstock collection

The two companies have different points of emphasis. For example, Shutterstock has emphasized my supply chain and railroad photography more than Adobe. So, please, look at both. 

Thanks for looking!! And, most of all, thanks to those who have already licensed my photos. 

Topsy-Turvey Tornado Warnings

The above map shows the number of tornado warnings issued as of yesterday by each National Weather Service (NWS) office. The Middle Atlantic states, for them, are off the chart. Meanwhile Wichita has issued just ten; for the second year in a row a fraction of the normal number. Click to enlarge the map the map and you can see the number by each NWS office.

New York City's Overreaction to the Ira Floods

Because New York essentially ignored the outstanding forecasts of the flooding rains from the remains of Hurricane Ida, it has now reacted in a counterproductive manner. 

Early Saturday morning, a day that featured tornadoes in nearby Long Island, NYC sent out a notification for a forecast of a tenth of an inch of rain! This will quickly have the opposite effect NYC government intends --New Yorkers will tune out, or even disable, these messages. 

In the strongest possible way, I would urge the new mayor of NYC to stop with these unnecessary alerts and focus on genuine major weather-related threats. 

Austin Was "Unprepared" For February Cold Wave and Winter Storm: Report

A new report has determined the City of Austin, in spite of declaring a "climate emergency" in 2019, was unprepared for February's cold wave and winter storm. 

The report correctly explains that the weather forecasts -- seven days before -- called for extreme cold and, later, winter storm conditions. But, then, it starts missing the point when it comes to the outstanding forecasts and warnings of a major winter storm for Austin. 

Here are the NWS's forecast temperatures and precipitation six days before:

In February, much colder than normal temperatures plus wetter than average conditions (snow or ice) equals something to begin plans for. 

Joe Bastardi forecasted disruption "like a hurricane" for central Texas. I took it two steps farther. These were three days in advance:"

It was not just Joe and me. Look at this forecast from the NWS three days in advance. 

It calls for two inches of snow. That is a big deal that far south (no snow removal equipment, etc.) especially with continuing forecasts of extreme cold.

Two days in advance, the NWS issued a winter storm warning for Austin (pink).

Below was AccuWeather's forecast two days before.

It had Austin on the border between snow and ice. The forecasts continued to get more dire as Sunday (14th, Valentine's Day) approached. 

Given all of these excellent forecasts the report's major shortcoming is why was all of this ignored?

And, it wasn't just the start of the winter precipitation and extreme cold. These mistakes continued.

While I would hate to see litigation start over ignored weather forecasts, I fear that may be an eventual result of all of this. Cities cannot keep making absurd decisions in the face of outstanding weather forecasts. 

In spite of the public relations stunt of declaring a "climate emergency" the report says,

And, it isn't just Austin. Tomorrow, I'll have a report on the latest ridiculous weather-related move by New York City.

Sunday Fun: Trains! Trains! Trains!

I was amused by this video. I think you will be, too.

Before Getting Back to Weather...

I've felt an obligation to inform my readers about how a colder than average winter and the supply chain issues the nation is current experiencing (here, among other articles) could make for an extreme difficult winter, so I've written quite a bit about it recently. 

With Thanksgiving travel coming up and some other items related to weather and climate, I want to get back to that topic tomorrow. Today, I want to write a piece about abortion and the despicable tactics of the pro-abortion media. 

This BBC article blames pro-life people for jailing a woman for a "miscarriage." It begins,

Brittney Poolaw was just about four months pregnant when she lost her baby in the hospital in January 2020. 

This October, she was convicted and sentenced to four years in prison for the first-degree manslaughter of her unborn son...

-- and, later, in the article --

At the same time, several US states have passed laws making it more difficult to obtain an abortion. While people oppose abortion for different reasons, often moral or religious, one part of the argument has come to focus on the notion of personhood.

Here are the facts:

The woman was a frequent meth user. Whether one agrees with this verdict or not, it is hardly the fault of pro-life people. Meth use is illegal. It is known to be harmful babies in the womb. Neither article I have read says Ms Poolaw attempted to get an abortion. A four-month abortion is legal in Oklahoma. So, abortion has absolutely nothing to do with this case!

The mainstream media knows it is losing the "hearts and minds" of the public. It is desperate to do almost anything, including lies and distortions, to cast abortion and pro-abortion groups, in a favorable light and to libel the pro-life movement. 

Abortion is tearing our nation apart. One of the very best things that could happen would be for the Supreme Court to strike down Roe v Wade. That opinion is such bad law (forget morality for a moment) that even extreme liberals like Professor Lawrence Tribe agree it should be struck down. 

Tornadoes Hit Long Island

A swarm of small tornadoes occurred on Long Island this afternoon. Below is a screen capture of a tornado just before it moved into Mastic, New York.

I annotated the Doppler wind data (upper right, click to enlarge) just before two small tornadoes merged near the town. 

Below, from Twitter, is a shot of some of the damage. 

You are welcome to follow me on Twitter @usweatherexpert.

Lowered Price on "Warnings: The True Story of How Science Tamed the Weather"

$20.94 is the lowest price I've seen for Warnings: The True Story of How Science Tamed the Weather that I've seen for a long time. So, if you are thinking of giving it as a Christmas gift...

An Idea So Ridiculous It Could Only Come From a University

Remind me not to depend on his student-designed bridges, the tornado warnings his graduates issue or the surgery they perform. 

Actually, the racists are the people who believe blacks and other minorities are too stupid to flourish in our society. 

Tulsa - Another Tornado Warning Miss

Tulsa World

From the Tulsa World:

A surprise tornado caused chaos across the Tulsa area Wednesday night in a storm that earlier in the day had only a “limited tornado threat.” The National Weather Service issued the first tornado warning at 7:19 p.m. — with no previous tornado watch in effect — and within minutes of the warning said a tornado was on the ground three miles southwest of Catoosa moving at 50 mph.

Damage on 18th floor of a high-rise building
Tulsa World

Based on the news photography I have seen, this tornado will be rated at least EF-2 -- another significant tornado without advance warning. 

Here is a map of the approximate path of the tornado's rotation. 

The Doppler wind radar data showed that a tornado warning should have been issued at 7:11pm for what meteorologists call a "QLCS tornado."

Reds are winds away from the radar. 
Greens are winds toward the radar.

By 7:15pm, there was unquestionably a tornado on the ground as evidenced by the Doppler radar's "correlation coefficient" lowering -- which is the radar detecting lofted debris.

Therefore, it is difficult to understand why a tornado warning was not issued until 7:20 -- nine minutes after the radar indicated sufficient rotation for a warning. 

I also don't understand why the warning merely says "capable" of producing a tornado when the radar clearly indicated a tornado was doing damage in a densely populated area. 

As the World's article indicates, there was no tornado watch. 

The "significant tornado parameter" one hour before the tornado formed was sufficient for a tornado as indicated by the value of 1. The forecast, made at 1pm, predicted a value of 1.3. 

A significant tornado parameter value of 1 for Tulsa as of 6pm

It is difficult to understand why a tornado warning wasn't issued earlier. Fortunately, there were no deaths or, to my knowledge, serious injuries. We may not be so lucky next time. 

This is another of an increasingly long series of tornadoes without advance warnings in 2021. I do not understand why the NWS is not addressing this problem. Accordingly, the U.S. needs a National Disaster Review Board. 

China Isn't Stupid -- And, It Is Increasingly Dangerous

As the useless COP26 meeting continues, China (which withdrew along with Putin and the Pope) thumbs its nose at the rest of the world. 

China isn't stupid -- it is dangerous. It is building coal and nuclear power as fast as it can. 

Challenging the United States is going to require tremendous amounts of electricity. 

Meanwhile, when President Biden's Secretary of Energy is asked about more energy, this is the absurd response, especially since her administration has cut U.S. petroleum production by two million barrels a day.

We better wise up fast.