Sunday, December 4, 2016

Sunday Great News: People Living in Extreme Poverty Lowest Level Ever

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The importance of this cannot be overemphasized. The Green Revolution played an extraordinary role along with the widespread application of the internal combustion engine.

Now, the anti-science, anti-GMO crowd is preventing a second green revolution as well as retarding the progress of affordable and much cleaner energy into impoverished regions of Africa and elsewhere.

But, with some smart political leadership across the world, we could bequeath a much happier and peaceful word to our children and grandchildren.

Friday, December 2, 2016

Thank You, Fox Radio Network

I'm really enjoying providing winter weather forecast and advice to the Fox radio stations this morning. Thanks for having me on!!

Flood Event Likely in East Texas

As much as 9" of rain is on top for east Texas over the next week. Flooding likely.

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Denting the Southeast Drought

Here is the latest (Nov. 26) drought index for the Southeast.
Darker orange = more severe drought.

Since then, significant rain has fallen across the region.

Additional rains are on the way. Here is the forecast rainfall for the next five days.
Assuming the 5-day forecast is correct, then the drought will be significantly improved by the middle of next week.

Questions About the Atlanta Tornado

Yes, there was a tornado in the Atlanta Metro area. Some -- morbidly -- seem disappointed there wasn't more damage. I think this is because there was a consistent debris signature on dual-polarization Doppler radar (see posting below). However, the debris signature -- as explained below -- doesn't tell you much, if anything, about the amount of damage.

At AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions, we usually watch the wind circulation on the Federal Aviation Administration's Terminal Doppler Weather Radar which, I believe, has better wind detection capability in these situations. Below is an example from my Twitter feed.
The tornado wind signature was tiny and not especially strong. So, I think some may have misinterpreted the size of the debris signature for a more destructive tornado than we hope occurred.

Tornado Has Damaged Parts of West and North Atlanta

We do not have the full details yet, but there has been damage from the tornado (below) in the Atlanta area. You can get locations and times from my Twitter feed:  @usweatherexpert .

Here are three images of lofted debris as measured by dual polarization radar. Important note: The fact there is lofted debris does not mean there was major damage. The debris may be tree limbs, etc.



Keeping in mind, this is a blog about weather rather than news, I'll turn the coverage over my news colleagues with the AccuWeather news staff and regular news sources.

Via Twitter (below) very rough idea of the approximate track of the ATL tornado. Do not yet know whether is was intermittently on the ground yet, etc.

Tornado Situation Just West of Atlanta

Radar from 1:12pm EST.
Unfortunately, at that time, the location of the possible (rain-wrapped and very difficult to see) tornado does not line up well with the tornado warning (red polygon).

This is the type of situation where tornadoes can form very quickly and be difficult to warn of. Regardless, please keep up on the latest weather if you are in the tornado watch (area below), including the Atlanta Metro Area.

Tornado Watch Through Late Afternoon


Third Day With a Tornado Threat

The area in brown has a significant threat of a tornado or two which does include the Atlanta area. I will try to update on the threat this afternoon.

What Happens WHEN (not if) the Major Earthquake Hits Southern California

Sobering details here.

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Tornado Outbreak Update: 9pm

Overnight tornado watch just issued until 5am CDT. Tornadoes overnight are exceptionally dangerous: Death rates at least 4 times higher than during the day.

Make sure you have an tone alert weather radio or similar warning reception system.

Red polygons are tornado warnings as of 8:55pm.

This is so important, I wanted to make sure my readers know of the overnight threat. This truly is the last update of the night. Good luck and stay safe. 

Tornado Outbreak Update: 7:10pm

Fourth tornado watch issued ... this one for northern Alabama to the north of Birmingham and for Tennessee south of Nashville. It includes Huntsville. Watch is in effect until midnight.

Please note that strong storms continue southwest into Louisiana. If you scroll down, you'll see all four tornado watches which all remain in effect.

There is some possibility the tornado threat will continue overnight. It is possible additional watches will be issued.

However, it has been a long day and this is the last blog update on these storms. However, I may continue to post on Twitter @usweatherexpert .  Please keep up on the weather and have a safe night.

ADDITION: 7:12pm. The overnight tornado forecast from SPC continues to be rather ominous.
If you live in the hatched area, it is essential that you keep up on local weather warnings!

Tornado Outbreak Update: 5:40pm CST

The tornado outbreak continues over the region. There are 6 tornado warnings (red polygons) currently in effect. There have been confirmed tornadoes with damage! With darkness over the region, it is especially important to keep up on local sources of weather information.

Here is the radar at 5:39pm CDT.


A third tornado watch has been issued...it is for western Alabama until 10pm. Scroll down to see the other two tornado watches currently in effect.

The AccuWeather app will provide notifications of countywide tornado warnings. Pair it with a weather radio and you have two immediate sources of tornado, flash flood, and severe thunderstorm warnings.

Note: We no longer live-blog storms. I do, occasionally, put short-term tornado information into my Twitter feed:  @usweatherexpert  so follow me there.

Second Tornado Watch Issued - Many Warnings in Effect

This tornado watch is in effect until 11pm CST. Note, again, a "high risk" of tornadoes and a moderate risk of strong tornadoes.

There are multiple tornado warnings (red polygons) as of 4pm as well as severe thunderstorm warnings (yellow polygons) now in effect.

If you live in either of the tornado watch areas (please see below) it is important to keep up on the weather at the first sign of the approach of a thunderstorm. 

Reminder: we no longer "live blog" storms. Please keep up on the latest local weather information. I will update this blog at least one more time this evening.