Sunday, February 19, 2017

Slight Tornado Risk Today

The area in brown has a significant risk of a tornado or two later today. This includes Wichita Falls, Lawton and far west part of DFW Metroplex. Stay tuned to the weather in your area if thunderstorms approach.

Sunday Fun: Wichita is One of America's Most Artistic Cities

While this doesn't surprise residents, it may surprise those living in the rest of the nation. As Expedia, in an article about America's most artistic cities says,

In true hipster fashion, if you want the insider scoop on the best art towns in America while they’re still under the radar, there’s no better place to be than Wichita.

This is one of the greatest places in the country to live and visit. Come and see us!

Saturday, February 18, 2017

Another Foot of Rain in California

Yes, that is another 12+" forecast for the watershed above the Oroville Dam (which appears to be fixed) and another nearly 10 inches forecast in the coastal mountains just south of San Francisco. This is going to touch off another round of serious flooding.

As to my comment (below) about the possibility of severe weather tomorrow in the Great Plains, here is the risk map.
On this map, 15% (yellow) is the significant threshold. Here, the main threats are wind gusts of 60 mph with thunderstorms and some storms with 1" in diameter.

Saturday Weather RoundUp

The storm in California was, unfortunately, as bad as I thought. There is excellent coverage at the Los Angeles Times

There is a risk of flash flooding in the Southwest Desert region today and tonight.

There is, yet another, flooding threat to central and northern California.

There is some risk of severe thunderstorms in the Great Plains on Sunday. More on that later.

Friday, February 17, 2017

This May Be the Most Intense Storm in Southern California Since 1983

Here is a regional radar map from the NWS:

The line of thunderstorms is now approaching San Diego.
Damaging winds and flash flooding are likely.

My Apology

I am dealing with some family medical issues and will not have a blog update today. Hope to have one tomorrow. I hope you will understand.

Thursday, February 16, 2017

Major Flood Threat Throughout California

More highly dangerous flooding likely for California. 

Before getting into the serious topic of the floods that will occur as a result of latest storm to affect California, it need to point out another catastrophically wrong forecast from climate 'science.' The 100-year drought ended 97 years early.
That terrible forecast enabled politicians and other decision makers to defer maintenance on dams and other projects to bring water to a thirsty state.

Now, to the issue of more torrential rain coming to California.
Yes, the NWS is forecasting 13.4" of rain over the next seven days in the Oroville River/Dam's watershed. It is also forecasting as much as 10.9 inches of rain near Santa Barbara with heavy rains extending east into the mountains above the Los Angeles basin.

Given the wet soil and already high levels of water in reservoirs and rivers, flooding will likely occur in areas that rarely flood. If you live in one of those areas, I urge you to plan now!
  • Pack valuables in a "go kit" -- so you can rapidly put them in your car if called to evacuate quickly. 
  • Make sure you have plenty of cash.
  • Your car should be filled with fuel.
  • Cell phone and laptop should be kept fully charged.
Good luck. I'll keep updating on this situation.

ADDITION: 11:21pm PST from the NWS in Sacramento.

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Another Day With a Tornado Risk

The 2017 tornado season has been much more active than last year's to this point. We had six tornadoes in Texas yesterday with four in the Houston metro area.

We have a risk of tornadoes in the Southeast today.
I have included the scale. The threshold I consider significant (enough to make me want to monitor the weather when thunderstorms approach) is 5% (brown). The highest probabilities are very rarely used values of 45% and 60%. The definition of the probability is the chance of one or more tornadoes within 25 miles of any given point. When you see black hatching it means the tornadoes are forecast by the NWS Storm Predication Center to be "significant" -- meaning EF-2 or stronger in intensity.

But, We Are Supposed to "Trust Science"


Or, as Slate writes further into the article,

A decade later, comprehensive smoking bans have proliferated globally. And now that the evidence has had time to accumulate, it’s also become clear that the extravagant promises made by anti-smoking groups—that implementing bans would bring about extraordinary improvements in cardiac health—never materialized. 

Yet, we are supposed to completely overturn the world economy and spend $19 Trillion (yes, trillion) dollars on less-reliable energy sources because of scientific studies of the same quality as the one in Helena.

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Valentine's Day Suggestion

If you haven't made a plan for this evening for you and your sweetheart, may I suggest taking him or her to see La La Land? It is the perfect Valentine's Day movie.

New Tornado Watch


Gulf Coast Tornado Risk

The brown and yellow areas have a significant risk through this evening.

There is currently a tornado warning in the Houston area.
Please keep up on the weather in this region.

Sometimes Old Advice is Worth Repeating

Older men should not shovel heavy snow. Details here.

I finally hired a shoveling service three years ago and haven't missed a minute of it.

Monday, February 13, 2017

Heads Up: Western Gulf Coast Region

The National Weather Service is quite concerned about tornadoes as well as severe thunderstorms in the region tomorrow.
Please keep in mind that 15% (yellow) is the significant threshold on this particular map.

If you live in the region, please monitor the weather all day tomorrow.

AccuWeather Still Up and Running!

UPDATE: 3:10PM CST: Pleased to report the NWS has fixed the outage and data is now flowing normally. 


Original Posting

From the Washington Post:

This what people seeking radar data from the National Weather Service are currently receiving. 
Sorry to report the National Weather Service (NWS) is experiencing a nationwide data interruption that includes radar and other important data. At this point, the loss of data is approaching 2.5 hours.
Fortunately, AccuWeather has a number of redundant sources for data and we are able to service our clients and the public with no interruption in radar or any other data.

This outage affects the NWS itself. Even with a blizzard in New England and a storm in Texas, their national weather radar map is blank.
Had this occurred last week at this time, users would not have been able to receive radar information as the New Orleans tornado was occurring.

In the meantime, AccuWeather is serving all of its users as we normally do.
We invest considerable sums on redundancy and data quality. That investment pays off on days like this.

UPDATE: 3:01PM CST: Just received an email from a user in California asking if competitors of ours would have radar data right now. The answer is, in at least some cases, "no." Below is a radar image from a competitor from moments ago. Compare the two times.
In other words, the radar image is nearly three hours old.

It isn't just the public. Emergency managers, broadcasters, and others who rely directly on the NWS and on some of AccuWeather's competitors cannot get the critical radar information they need. The Washington Post reports on the outage.

When I recommend AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions to businesses it isn't just because I work for the company. It is because I see, every day, the time, money and effort we put into our business to be the very best when severe or extreme weather occurs.