Thursday, November 23, 2017

A Marvelous Thanksgiving Story

You'll really enjoy this heartwarming story.


Hope you have a wonderful day. We all have a lot to be thankful for.

Below is a movie that illustrates what it was like to take a Thanksgiving road trip in the 50's. The only thing it doesn't say is to, "Watch out for dinosaurs!"

Monday, November 20, 2017

Sunday, November 19, 2017

Thursday, November 16, 2017

Big News: "Warnings" Back in Stock at Amazon!!

Very pleased to report that Warnings is back in stock at Amazon. How we found more copies is a long story that we'll save for now.

If you live in south central Kansas, it is also on sale and in stock at Watermark Books.

It is a great book (reviews here) that you will enjoy if you have any interest in weather or science. If you enjoy this blog, please consider it for the holidays.

Hurricane Harvey Lawsuits

The article I recommended has been taken down.

Wednesday, November 15, 2017

The National Hurricane Center's Accuracy Was Excellent This Year

While AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions issues its own hurricane forecasts for our clientele, the National Hurricane Center is the source for hurricane and tropical storm forecasts for the public.

I'm pleased to link to this story from the Washington Post documenting that the Hurricane Center had a very good year in terms of the accuracy of its forecasts.

Sunday, November 12, 2017

Sutherland Springs: The Ultimate Reason to Pray

USA Today
Last Sunday’s atrocity at the First Baptist of Sutherland Springs, Texas, brought about an extraordinarily disappointing and even repulsive reaction from many prominent people in politics and entertainment. Instead of statements of empathy, support, or even the good taste to stay silent, there were too many reactions like this sampling:
Or, from a U.S. Congressman,

Or, from the Speaker of the House and a cast member of The Big Bang Theory,
There were many more along these lines but this sample should be sufficient to illustrate the issue.

"If prayers did anything, they'd still be alive."

That is an astonishing misunderstanding of the purpose of prayer. I'd like to try to assist Mr. Wheaton and others as to what my fellow Christians were doing in Church one week ago this morning. 

Jesus declared, “‘Love the Lord your God with all your heart and with all your soul and with all your mind.’ This is the first and greatest commandment. And the second is like it. 'Love your neighbor as yourself.' All the Law and the Prophets depend on these two commandments."

The people in the Sutherland Springs Baptist Church were also observing the third of the Ten Commandments of the Old Testament: "Remember to keep holy the Sabbath Day."

Jesus told us, over and over, of the necessity of prayer. With that in mind, what was the ultimate purpose of the First Baptist's congregations' prayers and their fidelity to Jesus' commandments? To attain eternal salvation in Heaven. I believe those martyred souls are there now, enjoying a blissful existence far beyond what we on earth can begin to conceive. 
Headline from the "Friendly Atheist"blog
What about the rest of us? What is the point of us praying for the remaining wounded victims and the people of Sutherland Springs as Speaker Ryan suggested? 

Well, think about the second half Jesus' statement above, "And the second is like it. 'Love your neighbor as yourself'." Those of us outside of Sutherland Springs, as an act of love, can and should pray to the Lord to bring his healing grace to the people left behind, to the first responders who had to deal with the horror of the Church shooting, and, yes, for the troubled soul of the shooter, Devin Patrick Kelley. The last one may be surprising, but Jesus further told us, You have heard that it was said, 'You shall love your neighbor and hate your enemy.' But I say to you, love your enemies and pray for those who persecute you.

If, as people of faith, we view life's most imperative goal to be the attainment of Heaven, then prayer is the very best thing we can do for each other as every one of us needs God's grace and comfort. 

Now may our Lord Jesus Christ Himself, and our God and Father, who has loved us and given us everlasting consolation and good hope by grace, comfort your hearts and establish you in every good word and work.

Finally, to clear up another point of confusion that seems common among my atheist and indifferent to religion friends: when we pray for you or for anyone else, it is solely an act of love. Please understand we pray not because we think you are a 'sinner' (even though all of us are) or are deficient in some other way. We pray for you out of a sense of love and because we want nothing but the best for you. 

I realize this topic is far from my usual topics about weather, climate and science. With regard to the latter, as I have written on a number of occasions, I see no conflict between science and religion. I sincerely hope this posting is helpful to those who misunderstand why Christians pray as we do. I will be back with my regular topics tomorrow. 

May God be with all of us. 

Saturday, November 11, 2017

Saturday Fun: A Free Apple Fritter? Okay, Then!

At lower left we have our thief courteously bringing a apple fritter, complete with wax paper to people in a donut store at whom he pointed a gun earlier in the tape. Nice to know gun-toting criminals are polite, and sanitary, in Texas.

The video is here.

Puerto Rico: Congratulations AccuWeather Colleagues!

Photo by AccuWeather's Aira Nelson
I want to let you know about our company's relief efforts in Puerto Rico. Our State College team filled an entire shipping container with essential supplies -- especially generators -- needed for the town of Patillas, where, unfortunately, it appears Hurricane Maria "hit yesterday." Four members of our team went to PR to insure the supplies got to those in need. I'll let our team members on the scene take over the story,

The circumstances are unfortunate, but the community– especially in the humble town of Patillas- are extremely hopeful and full of energy.  Patillas welcomed AccuWeather with open arms.  No one we met complained, not even the people who lost their homes.  One family in particular had an enormous impact on me. This family of three – a husband who lost his legs, his wife, and her 102-year-old mother, who has to be on a feeding tube – had come into town extremely early, seeking a generator to help with the feeding tube. But the generators were still not ready to be distributed, so we asked the family to give us their home address, so we could deliver one.  When we arrived at their home, it was extremely late – but the wife’s reaction was overwhelming. She cried, “Is this real?  I had lost hope that the generator would come!” She then invited us in to meet the rest of her family.  Her mother said, “Gracias, no me queria morir!” which means “Thank you, I didn’t want to die.” 

If you would like to see a video of the supply delivery, click here.

I am so proud to be part AccuWeather, an organization full of dedicated, passionate people. We saves lives and property during storms like Maria and, while doing so, provide outstanding customer service to our clients. There aren't many jobs that give a person that level of satisfaction these days.

Friday, November 10, 2017

That's Hedy!

One of the world's most fascinating people was the late Hedy Lamarr. Why? Because the Austrian and American film actress was not only successful in MGM films, she was the inventor (yes, has the patents to show it) of spread spectrum technology, a form of radio communications that would help defeat the Nazi's.

You know we call that invention today? Wi-Fi and Bluetooth!

Today would have been her 103rd birthday. There is a one-woman show about her life playing in Chicago.

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

How Much Warming Has Actually Occurred in the United States?

With great fanfare (at least in meteorological circles) the United States unveiled a state-of-the-art climatological network so that we could actually measure climatological change in the United States. The network has been operating since 2004.

You may also remember the report issued last week that forecast future gloom and doom but that also observed none of this has occurred to this date. Perhaps the reason the gloom and doom has not yet occurred is because United States temperatures have not risen.
Above is the data: there is little, if any, significant warming depicted during the almost 13 years the network has been in existence.

One can, of course, correctly accurately point out that 13 years is a short period of time in climatological terms. But, given the sometimes ridiculous reporting about [global] warming in the United States one would expect to see....warming.

Hat tip: WattsUpWithThat

Monday, November 6, 2017

How Well Have Past "Climate Catastrophe" Reports Aged?

Friday, Dr. Roger Pielke, Jr. and I took a look at the latest in a seemingly never-ending series of reports calling for climate catastrophes. In it, I stated,

I tend to focus on what is occurring now and compare it to past IPCC/US Climate Project projections. Obviously, the current climate in the United States is not as bad as was forecast. 

Let's take a look (hat tip: Dr. Ross McKittrick) at how well one of these comprehensive reports, thirteen years ago, has aged in the past 13 years:

...Major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged into a 'Siberian' climate by 2020. Nuclear conflict, mega-droughts, famine and widespread rioting will erupt across the world. 
The document predicts that abrupt climate change could bring the planet to the edge of anarchy as countries develop a nuclear threat to defend and secure dwindling food, water and energy supplies. The threat to global stability vastly eclipses that of terrorism, say the few experts privy to its contents. 
'Disruption and conflict will be endemic features of life,' concludes the Pentagon analysis. 'Once again, warfare would define human life.' ...
Already [2004], according to Randall and Schwartz, the planet is carrying a higher population than it can sustain. By 2020 'catastrophic' shortages of water and energy supply will become increasingly harder to overcome, plunging the planet into war. They warn that 8,200 years ago climatic conditions brought widespread crop failure, famine, disease and mass migration of populations that could soon be repeated. 
Randall told The Observer that the potential ramifications of rapid climate change would create global chaos. 'This is depressing stuff,' he said. 'It is a national security threat that is unique because there is no enemy to point your guns at and we have no control over the threat.' 
Randall added that it was already possibly too late to prevent a disaster happening. 'We don't know exactly where we are in the process. It could start tomorrow and we would not know for another five years,' he said. 
'The consequences for some nations of the climate change are unbelievable. It seems obvious that cutting the use of fossil fuels would be worthwhile.' 
So dramatic are the report's scenarios, Watson said, that they may prove vital in the US elections. Democratic frontrunner John Kerry is known to accept climate change as a real problem. Scientists disillusioned with Bush's stance are threatening to make sure Kerry uses the Pentagon report in his campaign. 
The entire story is here

So, when you see advocacy organizations that purport to be able to forecast the effects of global warming 33 years into the future (example below),
I wouldn't worry too much. Think about how poorly the "nuclear war" report (above) has worked out.

Of course, 2020 has not arrived. But there is no chance of global warming causing the laundry list of catastrophes in the next two years and two months. That is more than sufficient reason to chill out when these are reported in the media.