Wednesday, October 20, 2021

And, Fidel, Pol Pot, Et Cetera...

Is it occurring to anyone that, the closer we get to socialism, the empty shelves -- a trademark of socialism -- get more common?

Tuesday, October 19, 2021

Palmer Drought Index As of October 12

The drought in the West and the northern Great Plains continued while the developing drought in the winter wheat belt has eased a bit. 

Over the next seven days, the drought will be dented on the West Coast.
More than ten inches of rain in northern California will refill reservoirs. 

Feature: A Powerful Piece About "Forever Wars"

Concise piece that I highly recommend. Click here

Monday, October 18, 2021

Sunday, October 17, 2021

Saturday, October 16, 2021

Video of a Dangerous, and Avoidable, Amtrak Crash

This has been a bad week for train accidents. 

The blue arrow points to the crossings' signal box, which I'll come back to in a moment.


A reminder:  If you observe a car or truck stopped on the tracks or other irregularity, call the number on the crossing's signal box immediately. This goes to the railroad and it is the fastest way to get trains stopped. Then, call 9-1-1.

If a crash cannot be avoided, get away from the tracks first then, if possible, run in the direction from which the train is coming (while staying well away from the tracks). That way, any debris from the crash will be carried away from you. 

Earlier this week, a Chicago man pulled a man in distress away from a car stuck on the tracks. I appreciate the Chicago man's heroism in pulling the man to safety. Video is below. 

Two Important Tweets

Climate change is a genuine issue. But, almost all of the solutions (other than nuclear and hydro) are grifts. Wind energy is the biggest grift of all

The FBI, more and more, acts like the KGB. It should be abolished

Friday, October 15, 2021

The Utter Stupidity of Wind Energy

Big Climate's focus groups have been deployed again and we now have the latest excuse for the failures of wind energy. It is called global stilling.


The Financial Times' article presents the graph below as a rationalization for why all of the expensive wind farms aren't producing. 

The bottom line is that wind energy -- which was put in to fight climate change -- is made even less effective because of climate change.

Yet, we are expected to install even more wind energy to fight climate change.

Also, this 'explanation' makes it impossible that tornadoes, severe thunderstorms, blizzards, etc., are made worse by global warming (has to do with both pressure and temperature gradients). This shows how desperate Big Climate is to keep climate alarmism front and center.

This is utter insanity.

Thursday, October 14, 2021

My Photography Is Now Available on Shutterstock

I am pleased to report that my photography is now available on shutterstock, the world's largest library of stock photography. This is in addition to my photography on Adobe Stock Photography

Tornado Watch in Effect. NO, It Isn't a Storm!

The curse of wind farms continues.

In the darkness Tuesday night, with a tornado watch in effect until 6am, I received this tweet.
A person in the area was worried that a serious storm would develop and threaten. 

Except there was no storm at all. It, along with the little echoes northeast of Enid, are wind farms. These are what meteorologists call "false echoes." 

Last night, at 9:36pm, a tornado was in progress near Copeland, Kansas, moving northeast at 60 mph -- a mile a minute. Yet, we were having to explain the wind farms (the irregular echoes like the ones northeast of Enid, above, and we had to take time to manipulate the radar presentation to minimize them. That was necessary so people in he path of the tornado would not be confused. 

There are many reasons why wind power is a terrible idea. While this is relatively small when measured against wind failing in extreme heat and cold, it is another item -- like killing wildlife -- that must be put on the "anti-" part of the scale. 

Wednesday, October 13, 2021

Recap of Last Night's Storms

While there surveys to be done and a lot of data to compile, the overnight tornado risk we forecasted certainly materialized. 
There was a tornado in the Oklahoma City area around 5 o'clock this morning. No injuries; we don't yet know the extent of the damage. 

There was scattered damage throughout Kansas and Oklahoma. 
This is a photo of one of several collapsed hangers at the Clinton-Sherman airport in western Oklahoma. 

Last night's storm coverage featured one of the most amazing things I've seen in my 50 years of meteorology.

Meteorologist Lisa Teachman was anchoring the severe weather coverage on KSN TV in Kansas. Meteorologist Erika Paige was in the mobile weather unit. Erika chased down a tornado west of Dodge City at night under difficult conditions. The type of tornado Erika televised is known to meteorologists as a QLCS tornado and they usually occur with poor visibility. The tornado was only visible with lightning. 

Part of the video of the encounter is here;
Think about this: you've been chasing storms for hours. You are tired, likely hungry, it is dark and somewhat dangerous yet you provide this outstanding coverage for your viewers. 

Why is this important? Studies show -- unquestionably -- that people are more likely to take shelter when they see live tornado images. 

This was extraordinary, heroic work: it is dangerous to do this if you don't know what you are doing. 

Congratulations to Erika and Lisa! That is the best of meteorology.

Wheat Belt Rainfall Report and Forecast

Why Is This Wheat Report So Important? We are facing "unprecedented shortages." 

Below is the rainfall for the 24 hours ending at 7am CDT.

Below is the 7-day rainfall ending this morning. 
This region is important right now because of the recently planted 2022 winter wheat crop. The area needed rain and these rains should be sufficient to get the crop off to a good start. 

For comparison, this is the Palmer Drought Index as of October 7.
Reds and browns are dry. Greens and blues are wet. 

Rainfall Forecast
Below is the rainfall amount forecast for the next five days. 

Did You Receive Large Hail at Your Location?

One inch hailstones fall at a speed of about 90 mph.

If you received hail damage from the recent storms, it is essential to file a claim as soon as possible. A circuit court recently ruled that you can be barred from recovering from your loss if you wait

Mike Smith Enterprises, LLC does forensic work investigating weather-related damage and the storms that cause them. We testify to juries and in depositions, when necessary. Call us any time for storms anywhere in North America. 

Tuesday, October 12, 2021

Overnight Tornado Watch

This tornado watch includes Wichita and is in effect until 5 am. 

High Plains Tornado Watch Issued

In addition to the potential for strong tornadoes -- especially in the southern half of the area covered by the watch -- the NWS is also forecasting 3" hail and thunderstorm-generated wind gusts to 80mph.

The above is a tornado watch. It is a "heads up." Go to immediate shelter is a tornado warning is issued.

Finally, since these storms will largely be after dark:
I will be live tweeting the storms this evening on Twitter @usweatherexpert. 

Safety suggestions are in the posting below. Please review them now -- before the storms develop.

Tornado Risk Update: HIGH Risk of Tornadoes

 Updated Tornado Risk

A dangerous tornado situation is shaping up for southwest Kansas and far northwest Oklahoma.

It is vital to follow the safety suggestions below. And, please do not underestimate the "elevated" and "significant" risks. 

Recommended safety suggestions: 

Make sure you have at least three ways of receiving storm warnings.

✔️Weather Radio ✔️ Phone Alerts (turn on wireless emergency alerts) ✔️ Local TV ✔️Social Media ✔️Weather Apps

  • East of US 83 take your smartphone to bed with you!
  • Make sure Wireless Emergency Alerts are enabled. 
  • Make sure family and friends are monitoring the weather, also.
  • Make sure you can get family, especially infirm members, to shelter quickly if a tornado warning is issued.
  • Do not try to drive to a shelter after a tornado warning is issued. If a tornado watch is issued and strong thunderstorms approach you area, proactively go to your shelter area. Don't wait for a warning if you live in a mobile home or other unsafe building. 
  • If you have a motorcycle, football or other helmet, wear it into your shelter.
  • Insure your shelter area is ready to go. A flashlight, a couple of bottles of water, diapers, radio or TV, and always wear shoes into your shelter. 

I will be providing additional live weather information on Twitter @weatherexpert. 

Tornado Risk in Great Plains This Evening and Tonight

Relative Tornado Risk


Remember, the risk scale I use elevates the risk for tornadoes that are forecasted to occur in darkness. The risk is also elevated when strong tornadoes are forecasted to occur.  I used four descriptor words:
  • Significant 
  • Elevated
  • High
  • Extreme
Note: Giant hail, larger than 2 inches, is likely in the elevated tornado area. Put your car inside.

Timing of Tonight's Storms

Recommended safety suggestions: 

Make sure you have at least three ways of receiving storm warnings.

✔️Weather Radio ✔️ Phone Alerts (turn on wireless emergency alerts) ✔️ Local TV ✔️Social Media ✔️Weather Apps

  • East of US 83 take your smartphone to bed with you!
  • Make sure Wireless Emergency Alerts are enabled. 
  • Start closely monitoring the weather after 4pm.
  • Make sure family and friends are monitoring the weather, also.
  • Make sure you can get family, especially infirm members, to shelter quickly if a tornado warning is issued.
  • Do not try to drive to a shelter after a tornado warning is issued. If a tornado watch is issued and strong thunderstorms approach you area, proactively go to your shelter area. Don't wait for a warning if you live in a mobile home or other unsafe building. 
  • If you have a motorcycle, football or other helmet, wear it into your shelter.
  • Insure your shelter area is ready to go. A flashlight, a couple of bottles of water, diapers, radio or TV, and always wear shoes into your shelter. 

I will be providing additional live weather information on Twitter @weatherexpert. 

Monday, October 11, 2021

Tornado Forecast for Tuesday Afternoon and Night

Because this area has had almost nothing in the way of tornadoes so far in 2020 or 2021, I wanted to provide this early update as to the tornado risk from 5pm Tuesday evening until 5am Wednesday. 

Recommendations:
  • Start closely monitoring the weather after 4pm.
  • Make sure family and friends are monitoring the weather.
  • Make sure you can get family, especially infirm members, to shelter quickly if a tornado warning is issued.
  • Do not try to drive to a shelter after a tornado warning is issued. If a tornado watch is issued and strong thunderstorms approach you area, proactively go to your shelter area. Don't wait for a warning if you live in a mobile home or other unsafe building. 
  • Insure your shelter area is ready to go. A couple of bottles of water, diapers, radio or TV, and always wear shoes into your shelter. 

If You Haven't Prepared For This Winter, Start -- Now!

Five days ago, I published an article urging you to prepare for shortages of everything from food to energy this winter. I urge you to review it. 

Since then, the evidence has grown exponentially.

Everyone of these headlines is from today! There have been many more stories since my piece was published.

My piece is predicated on the forecasts that much of the nation will have a colder and snowier winter than average are correct. If it is a warm and dry winter, we might muddle though. But, I wouldn't count on that. Prepare now. Click on the red link at the top to learn how to prepare.