Thanks so much for the detailed projected rainfall maps! It gives us some hope out here West of Wichita. This really is it as far as having a chance of getting the wheat up and well-stooled prior to dormancy. Getting a good stand is the first step on the road to next year's hoped-for harvest.
I do worry about the multi-year drought scenario. Looking at Climatological Data, I believe we had worse droughts than what we had in the 30s and 50s as recently as the 1870s and 1890s.
The last thirty years of climate cycle has really fooled a lot of people as to what this area is capable of in regards to extended dryness.
Thank you for coming to read my tornado coverage from Saturday and Saturday night. As there were about 100,000 brand new readers, please allow me to introduce myself. I the retired Sr. VP of AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions and retired Fellow of the American Meteorological Society. Specialized for 50 years in extreme weather forecasts and warnings. I invite you to bookmark this site: https://www.mikesmithenterprisesblog.com/ Timely forecasts of tornadoes, floods, blizzards and hurricanes are provided. On slower weather days we talk about global warming, science and issues of interest to society. On Sundays, we usually lighten things a bit. For real-time storm warning bulletins, you can follow me here: @usweatherexpert . Thanks again for reading! ---Last night's Coverage --- After 16 straight hours, I must call it a night. All of the information below is current as of 1:10am. Thank you for reading and goodnight. As of 12:35am, much of south central Oklahoma has no electr
Unfortunately, the forecast is working out. A tornado watch is already in effect in Oklahoma and Texas. This watch is in effect until 1pm. Thunderstorms are developing in the southeast Texas Panhandle. They will move northeast and strengthen. Please keep a close eye on the weather in these areas. I'll have comprehensive forecast up in 60-90 minutes.
The forecast path of the center of Hilary has shifted a bit to the west. This increases the threat to the Southland, especially in terms of flooding. Rainfall Note the heavy rains are forecast for Los Angeles County. Serious flash flooding may result. Because the forecast path has shifted to the west, that increases the threat of serious flooding in Los Angeles County north into Yosemite and the southern Sierra. It lessens the threat in Utah and western Arizona. While the threat of widespread flooding in Utah and Arizona lessens, note that some thunderstorms with localized heavy rain show up on the map. In Nevada, the more western path increases the risk of serious flooding around Mt Charleston and into the central part of the state. Here is the updated (9am PDT) flash flood risk map. Wind There are already about 40,000 people without power in California, mostly in the center of the state. The maps above are the peak gusts forecasted with the storm. The highest winds, in general,
Thanks so much for the detailed projected rainfall maps! It gives us some hope out here West of Wichita. This really is it as far as having a chance of getting the wheat up and well-stooled prior to dormancy. Getting a good stand is the first step on the road to next year's hoped-for harvest.
ReplyDeleteI do worry about the multi-year drought scenario. Looking at Climatological Data, I believe we had worse droughts than what we had in the 30s and 50s as recently as the 1870s and 1890s.
The last thirty years of climate cycle has really fooled a lot of people as to what this area is capable of in regards to extended dryness.
Thank you for the comment. Well said.
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