Wednesday's Nadocast Tornado Forecast Plus Regional Flood Forecast
This is an individual's model/AI system that does a remarkably good job in many weather situations. It can be found @nadocast on Twitter/X.
Let me interpret the Nadocast forecast for you: as with others, hatching is the potential for EF-2 or stronger tornadoes. Brown is the significant tornado threshold. Yellow is an enhanced tornado risk and red is a relatively high risk. So, both St. Louis and the DFW Metroplex have significant tornado risks Wednesday. Little Rock should keep an eye out, too.
I'll post the SPC outlook along with the updated Nadocast tomorrow morning to compare.
BTW: I am well aware of yesterday's giant tornado forecast bust. I'm debating with myself and a couple of other weather people as to what to write about it.
Flood Forecast
Widespread, serious flooding is forecast for the dark blue area tomorrow through Thursday. Purple dots indicate gaged rivers reaching "major" or "record" flood stages.
The light blue area is forecast for flooding but of lesser severity.
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