From a National Weather Service (NWS) source this morning:
"The offices in Wichita and Dodge City went down 'hard' since about 11:30pm last night. This is the third time in the past year. [Note: There were severe thunderstorms near Dodge City last night.] The NWS office in Goodland backed up Dodge City and Topeka backed up Wichita.
I've told you that failed communications systems with no backup in each office has become an all-too-frequent problem. While each office has primary, secondary and tertiary backups, it has the potential to put a severe strain on the office providing backup, especially if they are short-staffed.
This has become a more frequent occurrence since the NWS stopped supporting the VSat satellite system each office had until last year. FYI: that was before the Trump Administration came into office."
"NOAA operates a $0.5B/year program [$500 million] that is literally called the Cooperative Institute Program (https://ci.noaa.gov/) with express connection between NOAA and nearly 100 Universities representing 33 states across the Nation."
The bottom line that, while I am opposed to the way the Trump Administration has proceeded (so far) with NOAA, major changes were desperately needed! It is appalling that NOAA always seems to have money for pork ($60 million example, here) while its field offices are -- literally -- falling apart. Keep in mind that it is the field offices that issue tornado warnings, blizzard warnings and the essential products that people associate with the NWS and NOAA.
Late Breaking Story Since the Above Was Posted:The NWS is making crucial upper air launches optional at many of its field offices! The memo is below.
There are good reasons to believe this is related to the original story (above) -- far too many communications issues forcing short-handed offices to go into backup mode for a second office that has lost communications. While NOAA needs reform, the Trump Administration's haphazard personnel movements have made it worse.
This blog, for years, has advocated more use of automated weather balloon launchers. See brief video below.
We wouldn't be in this mess if we had a National Disaster Review Board or had the President or Commerce Secretary set up a small, trusted group of advisors to guide what should be cut and what should be kept.
Bottom line, NOAA has always had money for porkbut its field offices are literally falling apart. And, it is the field offices that issue the tornado warnings, blizzard warnings and other critical products upon which the public depends. NOAA desperately needs reform.
Happy to add under my name, Al Peterlin. Agree NOAA has always had funds for pork. And has to my knowledge managed to under fund operational or useful programs of NWS from the Ag program that was destroyed to the original climate observation sites and so much more.
Another Day With a Tornado and Giant Hail Risk The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes. The risk may be a bit higher in Texas than in Oklahoma or Arkansas. The hail outlook has hatching where hailstones more than 2" in diameter or larger are forecast to fall. The red area has an enhanced risk and the yellow area has a significant risk of 1" or larger hail.
Here is the tornado forecast for the rest of the night (till 6am CST). Red, hatched = high risk of strong tornadoes. Yellow, hatched = enhanced risk of strong tornadoes. Blown = significant risk of tornadoes. This will be the last update of the night. Tornado Watch until 2am. Please make sure you have ways of getting warnings of tornadoes and 80 mph winds. 6:15pm NWS believes the chances for tornadoes and damaging winds are increasing in Mississippi. They also say they are going to extend the tornado watch to the east later this evening. 5:35pm: The northwest part of the tornado watch has been cancelled Here is the area where tornadoes are more likely from 4:30 to 7:30pm. From Atmosphere Analytics Rare "Particularly Dangerous Situation" Tornado Watch till 9pm If you live in these areas it is vital to monitor the weather until the watch expires at 9pm Note the forecast is for "numerous strong tornadoes." A very rare "particularly dangerous situation" ...
Note: this forecast has been updated. Go here for the latest. Update at 6:45pm. The National Hurricane Center now seems to agree with my forecast. The red area is where they are forecasting an 80% chance of a tropical depression, or stronger storm, to develop sometime during the next seven days. I believe the best chance is in the Tuesday to Thursday period for tropical storm development. Update at 6pm: The afternoon model runs, among the models I trust, continue to show a good chance (at least 50%) of a tropical storm forming in the western Gulf. I will update this forecast Sunday morning. Update at 1pm: The new run of the models I trust are in and my confidence has only grown that there is a threat of a tropical storm developing in the western Gulf of Mexico to the west of the orange line. The rest of this forecast (below) is still valid. People in the USA and northeast Mexico (west of the orange line) should keep an eye on the weather this week. While t...
Happy to add under my name, Al Peterlin. Agree NOAA has always had funds for pork. And has to my knowledge managed to under fund operational or useful programs of NWS from the Ag program that was destroyed to the original climate observation sites and so much more.
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