New Mexico and Texas Flood Risk Forecast for This Week

This forecast has been updated. 

Please scroll up. 

This is a serious flood threat. 

People traveling as well as residents should pay attention.

Above is the flash flood risk forecast valid from 6am Tuesday to 6am Wednesday. The yellow had a moderate risk while the red has a high risk (on my scale). 

This is the forecast for the period from 6am Wednesday to 6am Thursday.  

Here is the cumulative flood forecast from Tuesday through Friday. 

The dark blue area is where major flooding is possible with significant, but not as serious, flooding in the pale blue area. 

For the meteorologists reading, please take a look at this satellite loop. The cluster of clouds south of Guadalajara is rapidly intensifying Hurricane Polo. It is moving little at the moment but should begin moving to the northwest tomorrow (Tuesday). As it does, it will feed rich Pacific moisture toward New Mexico and nearby areas setting the stage for flooding. Some of the models are showing the cluster of clouds about 1,000 miles to the west moving east and coming near Polo. If that occurs, the flooding may be worse than currently forecast. 

If you live in a low-lying or flood prone area, you may want to consider a "go kit" in case you should need to evacuate.