Flood Forecast: 5:15pm Mountain Time Tuesday

The forecast below is still valid. However, at the end, you'll note a caution about Polo eventually threatening the Southwest. The new National Hurricane Forecast now reflects that possibility with a northward turn at Day 5. The maximum winds of Polo are 180 mph -- a very powerful hurricane. 

Beyond Day 5, the forecast becomes very low confidence. Don't worry at this point. I'll keep everyone updated. 

Note: I am not covering the East Coast storm because there are numerous bloggers and meteorologists who specialize in East Coast weather. Please see my Twitter/X feed: @usweatherexpert where I am providing info on that storm. 

--- original posting, 10:20a Tuesday ---

Here is the updated flash flood forecast from now through 6am Wednesday Mountain Time.

I would prepare for the potential for flooding in the yellow and, especially, in the red area.

This is the flooding forecast from 6am Wednesday to 6am Thursday. 

Category 5 Hurricane Polo off the Mexican Pacific Coast is creeping toward the northwest. It is flowing moisture into New Mexico and will set off flooding. 

An important note: This is a powerful Cat 5 hurricane. It will move northwest for 4-5 days. However, after that, its movement is highly uncertain. Some (not all) models are indicating the weakened hurricane itself, or its remains, could affect Baja and/or the Southwest United States. It is important for people in this area to monitor the weather forecasts and storm warnings.