Monday, December 5, 2022

No, Florida Is Not Going to Be Wiped Off the Map By Hurricanes

A new fiction book is coming out that is based on an alleged global warming future. 
The blurb for the book says, 

Florida is slipping away. As devastating weather patterns and rising sea levels wreak gradual havoc on the state’s infrastructure, a powerful hurricane approaches a small town on the southeastern coast...  

The Light Pirate mirrors the rhythms of the elements and the sometimes quick, sometimes slow dissolution of the world as we know it. It is a meditation on the changes we would rather not see, the future we would rather not greet, and a call back to the beauty and violence of an untamable wilderness.

That completely unsupported position ("Florida is slipping away") comes from fake news reports like this on NPR which completely misstate the science. 

There is no evidence hurricanes are getting worse (see link above and the graphs below).

Major hurricanes (Cat 3 to Cat 5) are the type of hurricane referred to in The Light Pirate. They are simply not getting more numerous. 
The recent Hurricane Ian was a major hurricane and while it did a great deal of damage, Florida is certainly still there. 

Hurricanes are not getting stronger, either. The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) Index is a peer-reviewed way of measuring both hurricane strength and duration. 
As the above graph shows, hurricanes are not getting stronger. One of the ironies is that, after 2005 (Katrina, Rita, Wilma), we were told -- over and over -- that "fiercer" hurricanes were the "new normal." As you can see, there has been a weakening trend in hurricanes since that time. 

Please note: I am not making a forecast of future hurricane numbers or strength. The science isn't there for me to make that forecast nor is it there for anyone else. 

The constant drumbeat of gloom and doom by global warming advocates is nothing but propaganda to win more power and more money. 

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