"Particularly Dangerous [Tornado] Situation!" - Updated, 4:55pm

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Note: I will be providing updates on Twitter/X  @usweatherexpert . 

6:15pm Tornado Watch for Kansas City and Wichita



4:45pm, western Oklahoma 


3:55pm
Another tornado watch has been issued. 



3:10pm, second tornado watch, Kansas (only)


1pm update
This is a rare type of tornado watch known as a "particularly dangerous situation" watch. It means that strong or violent tornadoes are likely. I will be updating on Twitter/X but also make sure you monitor weather conditions from trusted sources throughout the afternoon and evening. 


3:20p Forecast
Using my 4-point scale, here is the key to the maps:
  • The red area has a high risk of tornadoes. The area with the bold hatching is where strong or violent tornadoes may occur. Based on late data, I am especially concerned about northeast Kansas and the counties that contain I-70 north to the border. 
  • The yellow are has an enhanced risk of tornadoes. The hatching means that any tornado that occurs may be strong. 
  • The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes. Where there is hatching, any tornado may be strong. 
In the red area, giant (3"+) hail may fall.

Since many people like to "play meteorologist" and look at the radar in severe weather situations, I have a concern this afternoon and evening pertaining to an isolated supercell ahead of the primary area or line of thunderstorms. In situations like this, they are known to produce tornadoes. The 2024 Barnsdall, OK Tornado is an example of that type of storm. 

This is an important day to keep up on the weather. 

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