Tuesday's Tornado Forecast - Updated 4:30pm

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This forecast has been updated. Scroll up. 

Looks like another active day tomorrow and, since we want to make sure Governor Whitmer is informed, here is a tornado outlook. There are two risk areas, please scroll down to see both. 

 Midwest Tornado Risk - Updated 4:25pm Monday
The yellow indicates an enhanced risk of a tornado and, if one occurs, it could be strong (hatching). The brown indicates a significant risk of tornadoes with -- again -- a chance of a strong storm. This includes far southwest Michigan. With the update, I have put a small part of northeast Kansas and western Missouri into the "significant" tornado risk area. This is because it now appears the low pressure system and warm front will stay west and north -- respectively -- of the KC area. 

I am also concerned that parts of the yellow area may need to be upgraded to a higher forecast risk category for late tomorrow afternoon. 

The green means a 2% chance of a tornado which is a very small probability. I'm guessing the Storm Prediction forecaster has a concern the warm front could move farther north, which would mean a tornado could not be ruled out. 

Texas and Arbuckles Tornado Risk
The brown area has a significant chance of a tornado. The threatened area extends from the Rio Grande and Texas Plateau to the Arbuckle Mountains in southern Oklahoma. A strong tornado or two is possible. 

Of course, I will provide a complete update on the tornado risk tomorrow. In the meantime, I recommend the cobwebs be cleaned out and that you get your tornado safety area ready to go. 

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