Note to Readers.....

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You have probably heard that one of the computer models is forecasting a period of extraordinary cold in the U.S. starting late next week.

Yes, it does look like it is going to be colder than average at the time of year5 when it is statistically coldest. 

That said, the model that is showing the extraordinary cold is, also statistically, the least accurate model. I am going to watch this carefully and will post the forecasts when I have a meaningful level of confidence. 

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