The ice storm, unfortunately, continues as forecast. Roughly 2.5 million people are without power. Those numbers will continue to rise. In Nashville, 91% of the homes and businesses are without power.
2am While the risk of tornadoes may continue during the night, this will have to end my coverage. Note the risk of tornadoes farther east later today. 1:35am Wednesday: Tornado watch will likely be issued for the outlined area, including the Kansas City Metro. Make sure you have a way to receive tornado warnings the rest of the night. 11:55p Tuesday: New tornado watch has just been issued for most south central (including Wichita), southeast and east central Kansas. This watch is in effect until 7am Wednesday. This is the overnight tornado threat we've been talking about. I am now providing additional updates on Twitter/X @usweatherexpert . --- original posting (still valid) --- Now until 7a Wednesday The tornado risk has decreased in Oklahoma south of I-40. 7am to Noon Wednesday For Wednesday morning, there is a significant chance of tornadoes in western and, especially, northern Missouri. It is unusual to have tornadoes during the morning....
A major windstorm is forecast for Oklahoma and Texas Sunday. This has the potential to cause widespread power failures. Please prepare now. More information below. 5:35pm: Particularly Dangerous Situation watch due to wind gusts forecast to reach 105 mph and with hail 5" in diameter. Tornadoes also possible. If you live in a mobile home, now is the time to determine your sheltering situation. I urge you to shelter before warnings are issued (spend the evening with friends or family). Power outages are likely. A mobile vehicle from the National Severe Storms Laboratory has already measured a gust of 90 mph! 3:05pm Update: Computer models have consistently increased their forecasts of peak wind gusts pertaining to north central Texas this evening. Wind gusts of 110 mph are possible. If correct, widespread power outages are likely. First Watch of the Day Pertaining to the Derecho In addition to the threat of tornadoes, wind gusts of 80...
Radar Image and Commentary as of 10pm (This is the last of the hourly updates for this evening.) Radar image from 10pm. Note the explosion of pink/salmon color from southeast Oklahoma across southern Arkansas. The following (blue) was written at 9p: I am increasingly concerned about more freezing rain over the southeast half of Arkansas than is currently being forecast. If you live in southeast Arkansas, I recommend making ice storm preparations now. Radar, plus ground truth data from Arkansas weather stations, show the icing concern is well-founded. There will be icing during the night in at least part of this area. 10:20pm Note: Some of the weather station's wind measuring instruments have already glazed over in southern Arkansas. Thunderstorms with snow/sleet/freezing rain may occur in OK, AR, TX south of I-40. Ice Storm Warnings in Violet Violet = ice storm warning (rare) Pink = winter storm warning Purple = winter weather advisory Dark Turquoise = wint...
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