Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Oops! 2004 Forecast of Global Warming Compared To What Actually Occurred

In 2004, the British Meteorological Office made a highly specific ten-year global warming forecast. You will find it contained in the video below. It forecast a tremendous acceleration in the rate of warming.

Here is a graph that displayed the world temperature (as computed by Britain's Hadley Center Climate Unit) from 1900 to 2004 which is the period of time discussed in the video:

The Met Office forecast temperatures to rise 0.3°C from the 2004 level by 2014 and at least three years to exceed the 1998 peak (all of this is on the tape). Here is what actually occurred: No rise in temperatures!
Not only was there no rise in temperatures (if anything, they fell slightly), none of the years exceeded the 1998 peak. The forecast was a complete bust.

These days, climate 'science' says it is an "error" to compare the forecasts that were made a decade ago as I did at my presentation in Nashville or in the rejected paper by Bergsstrom. Of course, that is the same as saying it is an error to compare today's temperature forecast to what the thermometer actually says.

Climate 'science' hates accountability. 

Australia is catching on: They are going to cut 90% of their budget for global warming. Of course, here in the United States, the people don't know the details of the latest global warming scandals because our media hasn't reported them.

This blog, on several occasions, has called for a 75% reduction in global warming funding in the U.S. What remains should immediately be redirected to exploring the sun's role in climate and whether the forecasts of global cooling have credibility. Global warming has been researched to death with little to show for the more than $100 billion (yes, billion) we've already spent. It is time for a new approach.

Hat tip: Barry Woods at Bishop-Hill.

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