Issued 11:40pm Monday Red outline is a tornado watch until 7am for eastern Louisiana and much of Mississippi.  Issued 6:45pm Monday A new tornado watch has been issued for parts of southeast Texas and western Louisiana until 1am CST Tuesday.  Tornado in the Houston Metro Monday Afternoon Note the lofted debris under the funnel cloud. At one point 27,000 homes and businesses were without power. More than 100 homes were damaged. No serious injuries have been reported.  Tornado watch continues.... Tornado watch in effect until 7pm for southeast Texas, including Houston, and a small part of northwest Louisiana. The tornado threat is forecast to evolve east across Louisiana and into Mississippi into tonight.  Please monitor the weather in these areas!

Don't try to fly through/to Houston Tuesday, especially in the morning. Get on the phone to your airline NOW! The Latest Watch/Warnings From the NWS Pink = winter storm warning Purple = winter weather advisory Medium blue = winter storm watch Deep blue = cold weather advisory Bright blue = freeze watch Below are the forecast amounts of snow (upper) and freezing rain (lower). I believe that some of media reports calling for more than a foot of snow in Louisiana are unrealistic. Given that Houston doesn't have a single snow plow and that this will be a record snow in parts of the area, there will be plenty of travel issues whether a foot of snow occurs or not. 

This forecast has been updated. Please go here for the latest forecast .  Here is the 10pm forecast from the National Hurricane Center.  Please note that a tropical storm watch has been issued for the far south Texas coast. Francine is forecast to be an 80 mph hurricane at landfall. However, there is a chance landfall could occur anywhere within te white zone.  I will have more information Monday morning.  ---- Published at 3:30pm Sunday... Based on Hurricane Hunter data we have winds as high as 55-60 mph over the southwest Gulf. However, the winds are not yet circular, so it isn't an official tropical storm as yet. There is little doubt that a tropical storm will develop and a hurricane is possible.   I would not change my forecast from yesterday.  If you live to the west (left) of the orange line, you have the potential for tropical storm, or even hurricane, conditions as the week progresses. I've been getting questions from readers in the Houston area. ...

Via Twitter and email, I've had readers express concern that a hurricane is going to strike the U.S. coast this week.  While in September (the height of hurricane season) it isn't impossible, there are no  indications at this time of a hurricane threat to the U.S. between now and Saturday.  Yes, as far back as Tuesday of last week, there have been irresponsible people making forecasts well beyond atmospheric science's capability who were guessing a hurricane might occur and some of them are still at it. It is the policy of this blog not to make hurricane guesses! Especially to my two Houston-area readers: after the spring derecho and Beryl, I certainly understand why you would be anxious but there is no reason to be. Please enjoy your holiday today and if a tropical system develops and is within 5-7 days, I will let you know. Promise. 

We've all seen magicians and the "hidden ball trick. The Wall Street Journal  hides the ball in this story about Houston's energy reliability. The Journal's  article about the crisis in Houston pertaining to CenterPoint Energy's latest power outages -- due to Hurricane Beryl -- hides the ball by not mentioning a key factor. As has become all too typical in the Journal's reporting recently , climate change is blamed for things that have little or nothing to do with climate as last month's story does.  This latest story says,  During the same period, CenterPoint documented 15 extreme weather events around Houston including hurricanes, ice storms and tornadoes. It took CenterPoint at least two days to restore power following six of the events, with outages lasting for more than four days after two major storms in 2021... “We’re going to be dealing with more of these storms, which means we either need to start burying more lines or hardening the system even m...

Radar at 10am. The center is west of Bush Intercontinental Airport near the "y" in Katy.  National Hurricane Center's forecast.  The X is the location of the center of Tropical Storm Beryl, which is still producing 70-75 mph gusts. The amber is the area experiencing sustained winds of 40 to 74mph. By tomorrow morning, the storm will weaken to tropical depression ("D") status.  As the storm continues northeast, flooding is the primary threat.  New tornado watch.  9:20am. Houston Hobby reported a wind gust of 82 mph. Ellington reported 73 mph. There are about 5 million people without power. At skyscraper level, it looks like gusts of 90 mph have occurred over downtown Houston.  8:10am. The center of Hurricane Beryl crossed the shoreline at Matagorda, Texas, at 3:35am. The pressure was 979 mb at landfall and the Hurricane Center says the sustained winds were 80 mph. Doppler radar shows an area of 85 to 90 mph gusts from Freeport to Hitchcock.  As of now, ...

At midnight... The west side of the storm has rapidly eroded while the east side has strengthened. Winds aloft have increased considerably with widespread winds in the 80-90 mph range. The wind speeds are being measured by both Doppler radar near Houston and by a Hurricane Hunter aircraft in the storm. The winds will make their way to the surface during the night  12:15am: Pressure has dropped to 982 mb and maximum wind speeds are now ~80 mph per Hurricane Hunter data  The center of the storm is at the "C" and the highest winds aloft outlined and marked with a W. It is entirely possible Galveston and Houston will have gusts near 80 mph.  As 11pm, Beryl is back to hurricane force. Sustained winds are 75 mph. See below for more details on my forecast.  At 11:15, it looks like Hurricane Beryl has taken a bit of a  left turn. Don't whether it is temporary. Regardless, wind speeds will be increasing along the coast until sunrise.  10:50pm Tornado watch until 10a...

The red is a Hurricane Warning for part of the Texas Coast at this time.  H = Hurricane;  S = Tropical Storm;  D = Tropical Depression Maximum wind speed at landfall should be about 90 mph.  Here's the 10am Update from the National Hurricane Center. Other than a tropical storm warning for the south Texas coast, the forecast is unchanged. The storm surge forecast is below.  8:30am. Currently Beryl is a tropical storm with winds of 55-60 mph. However, it is forecast to reintensify as it moves toward the Texas coast.  Hurricane Beryl is forecast to have 90-95 mph sustained winds as it crosses the coast. The hurricane watch (pink) has been extended to just west of Galveston. The National Hurricane Center's (NHC) path looks good to me. The amber tint is where tropical storm force winds (40-74 mph) are in progress.  NHC has issued is a storm surge watch for the Texas coast from Brownsville to Galveston, including Galveston Bay and the Houston Ship Channel. T...