Tricky Tropical Situation
We have a usually complex situation developing that might cause a tropical storm or hurricane to strike the Atlantic Coast. And in spite of what one newspaper is reporting, we simply do not know whether a storm will come inland or not. The Details
Humberto formed this morning and, at this point, is likely to become a major storm but has a better than 50/50 chance of not approaching the U.S. coast. .
The X also has a high chance of becoming a tropical storm or hurricane. If so, its name would be Imelda. Various models and forecast techniques indicate give inconsistent prognoses as to its future path.
Because we believe in "no hurricane hype," this is the first time in 2025 where I believe we have a significant chance of a hurricane affecting the U.S. coast. Please check back and I will provide the best forecasts possible in what is certain to be a challenging forecast situation.

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