Saturday Quick 4:55pm Update - Forecast For Potential Hurricane Imelda

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As of 4:50pm, the NHC forecast is little changed except that 
rainfall amounts may be less than originally forecast (yay!). 
I will have more this evening. 


-- original post -- 
A tropical storm wind watch has been issued for parts of the Florida Atlantic Coat (yellow). Tropical storm warnings have been issued for the Bahamas (blue). 

Currently, the storm is a tropical depression with 30 mph winds just north of Cuba. Later today or tonight, it should become Tropical Storm Imelda as it moves toward the north northwest. On Tuesday, it should become a ~75 mph hurricane. 

The models today indicate Imeda's center is somewhat less likely to cross the coast. If accurate, the winds inland will be less than forecast yesterday as will the rain. However, even with the forecast path, more than ten inches of rain is forecast to fall on coastal South Carolina.

The NWS's National Water Center is now forecasting the potential for flooding during the next seven days in the entire area above (hatched). 

I will update the forecast later today or this evening. 

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