Area of Concern Regarding Potential Imelda; Updated With Hurricane Center Forecast

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Satellite image from 4pm EDT. Humberto with 90 mph is the well-defined hurricane, with an eye, in the right part of the image. The messy cloudiness from Cuba into the Turks and Cacaos is what is expected to form into Imelda. 

We have an exceptionally complex meteorological situation because of the two tropical systems potentially interacting with each other. However, since we have the potential for Imelda to form, it appears the most likely area to be affected is outlined in red, below.
Two models are showing Imelda getting into coastal areas and then slowing down or even stalling. IF this occurs -- hardly a sure thing -- there will be heavy to torrential rains and flooding over part of this area. Near the coast there will be power outages. Dangerous surf will occur because of both storms. 

So, I suggest that if you are in the red area you make preliminary precautions for high winds near the coast and potential heavy rains and flooding inland. 

Of course, I will update this forecast tomorrow. 

Note: Just minutes after I posted the above the National Hurricane Center announced they are going to begin issuing advisories on potential Imelda. 
National Hurricane Center's Initial Forecast, 4:45pm EDT, Friday.
This, both in terms of path and intensity, is very similar to what I have posted above. 

Note: I frequently post updates on Twitter/X @usweatherexpert.

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