10:50pm Update: First of Three Dangerous Weather Days

By -
Three Straight Days of Dangerous Storms
For Saturday and Saturday Night

10:50pm
Tornado watch until 5am. This includes Dallas and Ft. Worth

5:35pm
Radar at 5:30pm. Gold counties = tornado watch. Pink counties = severe thunderstorm watch. 

4:20pm Update
The red tint is the tornado watch which calls for "intense" tornadoes, 4" in diameter and thunderstorm-generated winds of 80 mph. As of 4:15pm, thunderstorms were beginning to develop in the southwest part of the watch. 

I will not be able to provide my continuous coverage this afternoon, so please monitor trusted weather sources. 

11:45am update
There is an enhanced risk of tornadoes in the yellow area and any tornadoes could be strong. Update: the solid cross hatching is where the NWS is forecasting violent tornadoes. The brown area has a significant risk and there, too, the tornadoes could be strong. The primary threat should be after 3pm. 

This the hail forecast. Where you see the bold cross-hatching is where hail larger than 3.5" in diameter. The hatched area is where 2" or larger hail is forecast. As to the chances of large hail:
  • The pink area has a high risk of large hail.
  • The red area has an enhanced risk.
  • The yellow area has a significant risk. 
In Kansas, the risk of large hail includes Wichita, Coffeyville, Augusta, Winfield and Medicine Lodge. 

I will provide additional coverage on Twitter/X  @usweatherexpert. 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

"Particularly Dangerous Situation" - Update 5:35pm

By -
Image
A major windstorm is forecast for Oklahoma and Texas Sunday.  This has the potential to cause widespread power failures.  Please prepare now. More information below.  5:35pm:  Particularly Dangerous Situation watch due to wind gusts forecast to reach 105 mph and  with hail 5" in diameter. Tornadoes also possible.  If you live in a mobile home, now is the time to determine your sheltering situation. I urge you to shelter before warnings are issued (spend the evening with friends or family). Power outages are likely. A mobile vehicle from the National Severe Storms Laboratory has already measured a gust of 90 mph! 3:05pm Update: Computer models have consistently increased their forecasts of peak wind gusts pertaining to north central Texas this evening. Wind gusts of 110 mph are possible. If correct, widespread power outages are likely.  First Watch of the Day Pertaining to the  Derecho   In addition to the threat of tornadoes, wind gusts of 80...
Read more

Tornado and Destructive Wind Risk Late This Afternoon and Tonight

By -
Image
It is imperative residents of the central Great Plains use the forecast to prepare for damaging winds and, perhaps, a tornado or two.  Tornado Risk The brown area has been moved south into northern Oklahoma and now includes Bartlesville, Ponca City, Enid, and Stillwater, in addition to the cities shown. In Missouri, it includes Joplin and Nevada.  Destructive Thunderstorm Winds Here is the color code: Pink and hatched: High  risk of destructive winds of 75 mph or stronger.  Red and hatched: Enhanced risk of wind gusts of 75 mph or stronger.  Yellow: Significant risk of winds 60 mph or stronger.  If you live in the red or pink areas, I urge  you to prepare for the potential for power outages, some could last a day or more. Bring in lawn furniture or trampolines which could blow about and crash into other objects -- increasing damage. Put your car in the garage or carport. 
Read more