Friday, June 23, 2023

Yes, Forecasting Is Difficult

I was mildly amused by this article complaining about inaccurate forecasts pertaining to the economy, inflation and COVID. As you will realize meteorological forecasts are much more accurate than those.

While weather forecasting is assisted by the laws of physics, the fact is that weather and storm forecasting is incredibly difficult. There are times the computer models, which rely on those physical laws, are completely wrong. An example would be the Wednesday night storms in Houston

That is why it is essential that well-trained, human meteorologists remain the ultimate decision makers. 

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