Overnight Tornado Forecast Update 8:50pm CDT

By -
After another eight hours, this ends my coverage for the night.
Below are forecasts for the remainder of the night, please look them over. 

Tornado Forecast for the Rest of the Night
  • In the red, there is a high risk of tornadoes, some strong, between now and 1am
  • The yellow hatched area is where there is an enhanced risk of strong tornadoes the rest of the night. 
  • The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes until 7am Thursday

New Tornado Watch Until 3am CDT Thursday


This is one of the most extraordinary radar images I've ever seen. This is the Dopper wind velocity data for the east half of Tennessee and far northern Alabama. I've the circled the rotation for each of the tornado warnings (red polygons).  809p CDT


Severe thunderstorm and tornado risk increasing as more storms from from around Dallas to points northeast. Please monitor the area in the red outlined area. 


Above is the radar and tornado watches (amber) as of 7:10pm. Storms are developing from Dallas County to the Red River. The tornadic thunderstorm continues SSE of Nashville. 


This is the radar and tornado watches (amber) currently in effect (6:09pm). 
Thunderstorms are starting to develop in north central Texas. The dangerous thunderstorm with the strong tornado continues south of Nashville.  Data: 6:12pm. 


Tornado watch (red outline) for eastern Tennessee, northern Alabama (including Huntsville) and northern Georgia. 

New tornado watch, including the DFW Metroplex, has been issued. 
This is in effect until 10pm. 


Damaging Wind Forecast
This will be a major problem today. 
Where you see hatching, the forecast is for wind gusts to 75 mph or stronger -- in the rest of the area, the forecast is for gusts of 60 mph or stronger. 
  • The purple area has a high risk. 
  • The red area has an enhanced risk.
  • The yellow area has a signifiant area. 
Giant Hail Forecast
The hatched area is where hailstones 2" in diameter or larger are forecast to fall. In the rest of the area, hail 1" or larger is forecast.
  • The purple area has a high risk. 
  • The red area has an enhanced risk.
  • The yellow area has a signifiant area. 
I will provide at least one forecast update later today. You are encouraged to follow me on Twitter for real-time updates @usweatherexpert. 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

[1:10am Update] Tornado Forecast for Rest of the Night

By -
Image
Thank you  for coming to read my tornado coverage from Saturday and Saturday night. As there were about 100,000 brand new readers, please allow me to introduce myself. I the retired Sr. VP of AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions and retired Fellow of the American Meteorological Society. Specialized for 50 years in extreme weather forecasts and warnings. I invite you to bookmark this site:   https://www.mikesmithenterprisesblog.com/    Timely forecasts of tornadoes, floods, blizzards and hurricanes are provided. On slower weather days we talk about global warming, science and issues of interest to society. On Sundays, we usually lighten things a bit. For real-time storm warning bulletins, you can follow me here:   @usweatherexpert .  Thanks again  for reading! ---Last night's Coverage --- After 16 straight hours, I must call it a night. All of the information below is current as of 1:10am. Thank you for reading and goodnight.  As of 12:35am, much of south central Oklahoma has no electr
Read more

First Tornado Watch of the Day Issued

By -
Image
Unfortunately, the forecast is working out. A tornado watch is already in effect in Oklahoma and Texas.  This watch is in effect until 1pm.  Thunderstorms are developing in the southeast Texas Panhandle. They will move northeast and strengthen. Please keep a close eye on the weather in these areas.  I'll have comprehensive forecast up in 60-90 minutes.
Read more

Hilary's Forecast Path Shifts West; Updated 9:20am PDT

By -
Image
The forecast path of the center of Hilary has shifted a bit to the west. This increases the threat to the Southland, especially in terms of flooding.  Rainfall Note the heavy rains are forecast for Los Angeles County. Serious flash flooding may result. Because the forecast path has shifted to the west, that increases the threat of serious flooding in Los Angeles County north into Yosemite and the southern Sierra. It lessens the threat in Utah and western Arizona. While the threat of widespread flooding in Utah and Arizona lessens, note that some thunderstorms with localized heavy rain show up on the map.  In Nevada, the more western path increases the risk of serious flooding around Mt Charleston and into the central part of the state.  Here is the updated  (9am PDT) flash flood risk map. Wind There are already about 40,000 people without power in California, mostly in the center of the state.  The maps above are the peak gusts forecasted with the storm. The highest winds, in general,
Read more