11:40 EST Update: Tropical Storm Nicole

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Hurricane Warnings From Boca Raton to Flagler/Volusia County Line
Hurricane Watch From Flagler/Volusia County Line to Ponte Vedra Beach 



Original Post:
Nicole now has 50 mph winds and a minimum pressure 994 millibars. 
click to enlarge
Nicole is expected to be a hurricane at landfall (pre-dawn Thursday) with maximum winds of 75 mph.

Here is a color code to the map:
  • Amber: the area of tropical storm force winds
  • S = tropical storm 
  • H = hurricane
  • Red = hurricane warning
  • Blue = tropical storm warning
  • Yellow = tropical storm watch 
The location of where the center of the storm crosses the coast is less important than with more typical hurricanes. The wind field will be quite spread out with Nicole. See below, which comes from the ECMWF model.

There will be a significant storm surge. See below for the storm surge warning and watch.
I will update again this afternoon. 

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