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Showing posts with the label Hurricane Melissa

252 mph Wind in Hurricane Melissa

That wind was measured by a "dropsonde" which is an instrument dropped by Hurricane Hunter aircraft. You find the full details on this incredible measurement here . 
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Melissa is a Cat 3 with 105 mph winds. A hurricane warning is in effect for Bermuda. Hurricane conditions are expected on the island tonight.  Here is the path of hurricane force winds (brown) to the present time.

Wednesday Morning 11am Update on Melissa

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Here's the 11am forecast: Below is a map of where hurricane force winds have occurred to this point. 

If You Could See My Twitter Feed:

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Who did this? How? Of course, since it is impossible those questions aren't even posed, let alone answered. One of hundreds of similar tweets in my feed Oh my, Hurricane Melissa has brought the eccentrics out. Please let me state the following: No hurricane has ever been caused by climate change. Period.  Melissa will not suddenly strengthen and be "steered" into Florida by the United Nations' "Smart City" program.  "We did this" [humans caused Melissa] was stated by dozens of people. Evidently, that is an Official Big Climate Talking Point™. No, we didn't. Humans don't/can't cause hurricanes! We wouldn't even know how. HAARP did not cause Melissa. HAARP does not influence weather.  No hurricane has ever been "manmade." Trump did not steer Melissa into Jamaica to "get hold of its rare earth minerals." Does Jamaica even have rare earth minerals? Yes, there are patents for "weather control," including on...

Melissa: Cuba Next in the Path, 11:35pm

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The latest forecast, which hasn't changed much, is below. The storm restrengthened over water this evening and will slam into southeast Cuba Wednesday morning.  The map below, in brown, shows the area that has experienced hurricane force (>75 mph winds). ---- Within the past half-hour, the center of Melissa exited the coast of Jamaica just east of Montego Bay. The winds have "weakened" to a still severe 145 mph and the pressure has risen to 906 mb. The storm should be roughly this intensity or a little weaker when it arrives in Cuba.  From Cuba, Melissa is forecast to sweep through the Turks & Cacaos Islands as well as the eastern Bahamas. There is also a hurricane watch for Bermuda.  1:05pm. Landfall officially occurred at 1:03pm EDT. Based on Hurricane Hunter data, wind gusts to 200 mph possible in higher elevations of Jamaica near the coast.  12:45am. Winds are 185 mph (!) and the central pressure is 892mb (!). The eye is moving inland through southwest Jam...

Category 5 Melissa, One of the Strongest Hurricanes in Atlantic History, 11:10pm Monday

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11:10pm. Updated NHC forecast and warnings.  Red = hurricane warnings.  8:10pm. I think the Hurricane Center is being conservative with Melissa's eye winds. They are clearly at least 180 mph. The storm has been drifting very slowly to the southwest  the past couple of hours   which was not forecast. The farther west the eye moves, the better it would be for Jamaica so please offer some prayers this trend continues. I'd love for the purple line below to be the most correct or even to the west.  1:48pm. Melissa's winds are now 175 mph  -- one of the strongest Atlantic hurricanes in history.  1:30pm. Melissa has made the north turn. Below are forecast paths of the center from the most trustworthy models. The strongest winds will be along and to the east of the actual path. Mountains increase the amount of rain. Here is a topographic map of the Island of Jamaica. The mountains are somewhat lower on the west side of the island than in the east. The highest ...

Hurricane Melissa is Likely a Category 5; Updated 1:15am

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[1:15a Monday]   This is the most powerful hurricane in its presentation on satellite that you will probably ever see in the Atlantic. The (hard to discern) lightning around the eye indicates additional strengthening. I have placed an arrow pointing to the northeast coast of Jamaica. I suspect winds are now in the 160mph range or even a little stronger but we won't know because the midnight Hurricane Hunter aircraft has apparently had to turn back (reason unknown).  [6:20p] As anticipated, the strengthening of Melissa resumed this afternoon and it now appears it will reach Cat 5 intensity. [4:20p] Based on satellite and aircraft Hurricane Hunter data, Melissa has sustained winds of 150 mph around the eye and the pressure has dropped at least another 4 mb during the past four hours. The storm has moved straight west since 11am. See the guidance below. This will likely be a catastrophic storm for Jamaica. Here is what the Jamaica Observer is saying about the storm .  Image ...

Jamaica: Warning of a Major Hurricane, 11pm Update

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[11pm] Melissa is now a major hurricane with 115 mph sustained winds. An eye developed rapidly this evening. Pressure is down to 967 mb and it is moving very slowly west. The storm is forecast to reach Cat. 5 intensity in 48 hours, before it strikes Jamaica.  Nation-By-Nation Guidance: