Posts

Showing posts with the label Corpus Christi

Midnight Hurricane Beryl Update

Image
At midnight... The west side of the storm has rapidly eroded while the east side has strengthened. Winds aloft have increased considerably with widespread winds in the 80-90 mph range. The wind speeds are being measured by both Doppler radar near Houston and by a Hurricane Hunter aircraft in the storm. The winds will make their way to the surface during the night  12:15am: Pressure has dropped to 982 mb and maximum wind speeds are now ~80 mph per Hurricane Hunter data  The center of the storm is at the "C" and the highest winds aloft outlined and marked with a W. It is entirely possible Galveston and Houston will have gusts near 80 mph.  As 11pm, Beryl is back to hurricane force. Sustained winds are 75 mph. See below for more details on my forecast.  At 11:15, it looks like Hurricane Beryl has taken a bit of a  left turn. Don't whether it is temporary. Regardless, wind speeds will be increasing along the coast until sunrise.  10:50pm Tornado watch until 10a...

5:30pm Hurricane Warning for Texas Coast

Image
The red is a Hurricane Warning for part of the Texas Coast at this time.  H = Hurricane;  S = Tropical Storm;  D = Tropical Depression Maximum wind speed at landfall should be about 90 mph.  Here's the 10am Update from the National Hurricane Center. Other than a tropical storm warning for the south Texas coast, the forecast is unchanged. The storm surge forecast is below.  8:30am. Currently Beryl is a tropical storm with winds of 55-60 mph. However, it is forecast to reintensify as it moves toward the Texas coast.  Hurricane Beryl is forecast to have 90-95 mph sustained winds as it crosses the coast. The hurricane watch (pink) has been extended to just west of Galveston. The National Hurricane Center's (NHC) path looks good to me. The amber tint is where tropical storm force winds (40-74 mph) are in progress.  NHC has issued is a storm surge watch for the Texas coast from Brownsville to Galveston, including Galveston Bay and the Houston Ship Channel. T...

7:10pm Friday - Updated Hurricane Beryl Forercast

Image
The red arrows represent the range of where I forecast landfall of Beryl's center.  I now believe the entire Texas Gulf Coast is in play as to landfall. I was leaning toward that change in this forecast update. The arrival of the 18Z European Model forecast sealed it.  Wind Speed Forecast: if Beryl strikes near or south of Corpus Christi, wind speeds will be around 85-90 mph. If the storm strikes north of Corpus, wind speeds could be in the 90-100 mph range.  Tbe National Hurricane Center's Hurricane Watch is shown in pink along the central and southern Texas coast. I believe they will have to extend the watch farther north in later advisories.  The flood forecast is here . There will also be a storm surge near and north of where the center makes landfall. Finally, there will be a few tornadoes.  I will update this forecast again Saturday morning