Noon (Hawaiian Time) Tropical Storm Forecast

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Low Pressure Center One-C is at tropical storm strength. I believe it will be named Hernan Iselle when the National Hurricane Center officially names it. 

NHC has forecast peak sustained winds of 70 mph which seems reasonable. However....because of the mountains, gusts as strong as 115 mph may occur those areas. I wish to emphasize that the potential exists that the potential Hernan could reach hurricane force just before reaching the islands. 

Some of the computer models are bringing as much as 2 feet of rain to the mountains of the Island of Hawaii (a/k/a "the Big Island") with lesser but still flood-producing rains on the islands farther to the northwest. The storm will begin to affect Hawaii on Friday. 

Storm surge and high surf will be lift-threatening, especially on the east and south sides of the islands based on the current forecast path. 

I'll have more tomorrow. 

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