This tragedy is not one bit a unique experience for Texas and surely all other riverine territories. As the decades go by fresh generations arise and repeat the experiences of their predecessors. And human nature repeats itself disaster after disaster. Young and ignorant. That typifies the human experience. These Hill Country rivers share the same flooding risk as any stream located on sharp valleys and are subject to narrow though deep flooding events that raise floods surprisingly high up the enclosing steeply rising valley slopes. Do the parents of the lost children sue without sharing some of the same responsibility for their ignorance and failure of foresight as those of the same generation of property owners operating the riverside youth camps? Did they even begin to imagine such hazards as presented for the circumstances they were injecting their children. These floods always happen to someone else. That is, until they happen t6o you or yours. They don't happen with sufficient frequency in one location to keep the current locals on guard.
I have observed the same tendencies with regard to hurricanes. I've observed them since 1940. Hurricanes make their visits from time to time with no regular predictability cleaning the beaches of most its establishments whether they are artifices produced by human or natural causes. There the beaches remain bare until a new crop of people arrive and naively start building for a repeat experience,
We the living human creatures blissfully assume that today's safety exemplifies all of our future, failing to see the multitude of graves filled by equally blissful ancestors certain that it is always the other fellow that suffers. But, let the falling curtain expose my naivety, my so human ignorance and frailty along with my fellow citizen, then it is all his fault entirely and singly. He took my money and gave me deaths.
I have myself canoed and camped on such rivers. One of them had previously seen the deaths of Boy Scouts occurring under the very same kind of circumstances. With such experiences in mind one does well to pay attention to the choice of campground with respect to distance above the usual level of such a river. I have seen flood water marks on a house that one would deem safely sitting on high ground along with three and four foot diameter Bald Cypress trees broken off like match sticks with survivors housing a grand piano and an automobile or so.
Ma nature ain't always rainbows and sweet little bunnies. When she bites hard and we are not safely hiding, we are like a mistakenly punished child, helpless to retaliate, it is pitiful to watch childish anger beating up on some other equally helpless and ignorantly trusting victim. We ain't all as decades old as I am.
More heavy rain (snow in the mountains) forecast. Rains have already begun over the southern two-thirds of the state. See 3:15pm radar below. In addition, there is small risk of a tornado, especially tomorrow morning, in coastal areas of Southern California, shown in dark green.
The title of this essay is from a press release that indirectly "blames the victim." The author is Sedgwick County Emergency Management regarding a fatal tornado that occurred just north of Wichita at 1:14 this morning. The tornado was rated EF-2 ("strong") intensity. I believe the wording is unfortunate as discussed below. Photo: KAKE.com. Note that with a basement, as little as seconds to dash down the stairs might have been sufficient to avoid injury. In what has increasingly and unfortunately become the norm in tornado situations, no NWS tornado warning was issued even though: Rotation was depicted on radar Radar shows lofted debris People from outside the NWS are observing tornadoes and bringing them to NWS's and the public's attention. I want to be clear: the tornado formed practically on top of the home and there was probably no way to have warned in time to help the man killed. But there is absolutely no reason a tornado warning could not have bee...
This past Friday, we had a great example of how a meteorologist can tell the difference between side-lobes (a false echo that mimics a tornado's circulation on radar) and one indicating a tornado is forming or in progress. I'm going to walk you through it so young meteorologists, in a similar case, won't make the mistake of mistaking side lobes for a tornado. This case was in north central Texas on February 2nd. I'm using the Abilene/Sweetwater WSR-88D and the software is RadarScope. When I draw on one panel of the screen, it shows up on the other in the same place, so the measurements are about as exact as any in meteorology. The Thunderstorm Cluster, 4:24pm Above is a cluster of thunderstorms with the two storms with arrows starting to transition to supercells. We already have the northern storm (just south of Aspermont) moving north northeast. In a situation like this, the storm will likely be "a hailer" -- meaning it is likely to produce hail, possibly ...
This tragedy is not one bit a unique experience for Texas and surely all other riverine territories. As the decades go by fresh generations arise and repeat the experiences of their predecessors. And human nature repeats itself disaster after disaster. Young and ignorant. That typifies the human experience. These Hill Country rivers share the same flooding risk as any stream located on sharp valleys and are subject to narrow though deep flooding events that raise floods surprisingly high up the enclosing steeply rising valley slopes. Do the parents of the lost children sue without sharing some of the same responsibility for their ignorance and failure of foresight as those of the same generation of property owners operating the riverside youth camps? Did they even begin to imagine such hazards as presented for the circumstances they were injecting their children. These floods always happen to someone else. That is, until they happen t6o you or yours. They don't happen with sufficient frequency in one location to keep the current locals on guard.
ReplyDeleteI have observed the same tendencies with regard to hurricanes. I've observed them since 1940. Hurricanes make their visits from time to time with no regular predictability cleaning the beaches of most its establishments whether they are artifices produced by human or natural causes. There the beaches remain bare until a new crop of people arrive and naively start building for a repeat experience,
We the living human creatures blissfully assume that today's safety exemplifies all of our future, failing to see the multitude of graves filled by equally blissful ancestors certain that it is always the other fellow that suffers. But, let the falling curtain expose my naivety, my so human ignorance and frailty along with my fellow citizen, then it is all his fault entirely and singly. He took my money and gave me deaths.
I have myself canoed and camped on such rivers. One of them had previously seen the deaths of Boy Scouts occurring under the very same kind of circumstances. With such experiences in mind one does well to pay attention to the choice of campground with respect to distance above the usual level of such a river. I have seen flood water marks on a house that one would deem safely sitting on high ground along with three and four foot diameter Bald Cypress trees broken off like match sticks with survivors housing a grand piano and an automobile or so.
Ma nature ain't always rainbows and sweet little bunnies. When she bites hard and we are not safely hiding, we are like a mistakenly punished child, helpless to retaliate, it is pitiful to watch childish anger beating up on some other equally helpless and ignorantly trusting victim. We ain't all as decades old as I am.