I'm revising my thinking on the chance of tornadoes in the U.S. this afternoon because of conditions close to home. Temperatures west of Wichita have gotten into the low 90's, warmer than I was originally forecasting. IF  thunderstorms are able to break what is called the "cap" (dry air ~10,000' above the ground), they will go severe very quickly and there is a chance -- just a chance -- of a tornado or two. This is what meteorologists call a "thermodynamic" (instability)-driven event rather than a "dynamic" (low pressure moving across the area) event. This forecaster has less skill with the former rather than the latter. So, if you live in the area outlined and thunderstorms approach, please check on the latest weather information.

I'm thrilled to report there is no significant tornado risk today. HOWEVER, tomorrow is the day I've worried about all week (map below): Fifteen percent (yellow) is the significant threshold. I'll keep you update on this risk. We didn't get home from yesterday's amazing storm chase (scroll down) until 12:30am and I haven't even seen all of the photos yet. When I do, I'll get a posting up and I'll discuss: My ultimate tornado fear The insane policy of many American companies pertaining to tornadoes. 

...why are so many people building just above sea level? We know the Chinese are building military bases on reefs just above level. If they believe sea level is rising at an accelerating rate, they wouldn't do it. Associated Press An, in the 'soon to disappear' Maldives , the article excerpt below was from the end of 2013: Ever-increasing choice The roll-call of high-end resorts in the Maldives increases every year. In the past 14 months, no fewer than eight have opened: Ayada Maldives, Jumeirah Dhevanafushi, Jumeirah Vittaveli, Dusit Thani, Niyama, Viceroy Maldives, The Residence and Centara Ras Fush. Don't listen to what people say. Watch what they do.

It is Dodge City in the foreground and two  tornadoes in the background. Had an amazing storm chase. Details to follow!!

An absolutely amazing video. Taken yesterday evening just north of Woodward, Oklahoma.

The brown (5%) is the significant threshold level. If you live in these areas, please keep up on the weather. The only good thing about the tornadoes of the last few days is they have missed populated areas. Let's hope our good fortune holds out.