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Friday, November 13, 2015
Major Storm Next Week
There will be a major storm in the central third of the U.S. early next week: Tornadoes, flooding and a blizzard. It is too soon to say exactly where and when. Forecaster Evie and I are on the case so look for updates over the weekend.
The models are not even close this morning re: next week's storm. An excerpt from the KBOU weather discussion: MOISTURE-WISE...THE ECMWF HAS A DECENT PRECIPITATION WINDOW FOR THE CWA FROM MONDAY EVENING INTO LATE MORNING TUESDAY. THE GFS SHOWS A FIERCE PROLONGED WINDOW OF DEEP MOISTURE FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. A HUGE DIFFERENCE FOR SURE. IF THE GFS WERE TO COME TRUE...WE WOULD CERTAINLY SEE A MAJOR...EVEN AN ALL TIME RECORD... SNOWFALL FOR MUCH OF THE URBAN CORRIDOR. THE UNCERTAINTY BETWEEN THE MODELS IS SEVERE.
...and I'll be flying into it...will be keeping an eye on this. Thanks for blogging it.
BTW, since I commented in September about potentially getting stranded at work due to flooding: That didn't happen (but I'm glad I was prepared just in case). What did happen: My neighborhood at home lost power. And then when the power came back on, my neighbor's whole-house generator started a fire. His house was not destroyed, thank goodness, but it was severely damaged.
You see, after Sandy, local electricians had a year-long waiting list for generator installation. So my neighbor went ahead and installed his himself.
The models are not even close this morning re: next week's storm. An excerpt from the KBOU weather discussion: MOISTURE-WISE...THE ECMWF
ReplyDeleteHAS A DECENT PRECIPITATION WINDOW FOR THE CWA FROM MONDAY EVENING
INTO LATE MORNING TUESDAY. THE GFS SHOWS A FIERCE PROLONGED WINDOW
OF DEEP MOISTURE FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
EVENING. A HUGE DIFFERENCE FOR SURE. IF THE GFS WERE TO COME
TRUE...WE WOULD CERTAINLY SEE A MAJOR...EVEN AN ALL TIME RECORD...
SNOWFALL FOR MUCH OF THE URBAN CORRIDOR. THE UNCERTAINTY BETWEEN
THE MODELS IS SEVERE.
That is why I said it is "too soon" to forecast the specifics of this storm.
ReplyDelete...and I'll be flying into it...will be keeping an eye on this. Thanks for blogging it.
ReplyDeleteBTW, since I commented in September about potentially getting stranded at work due to flooding: That didn't happen (but I'm glad I was prepared just in case). What did happen: My neighborhood at home lost power. And then when the power came back on, my neighbor's whole-house generator started a fire. His house was not destroyed, thank goodness, but it was severely damaged.
You see, after Sandy, local electricians had a year-long waiting list for generator installation. So my neighbor went ahead and installed his himself.
People...don't do that. Hire an electrician.