At this point, the 2024 hurricane season is nothing special,  even with Hurricane Ernesto in progress.  This is quite a contrast to the 2024 hurricane season forecasts. A small sample is below.  Many were mentioning climate change as a reason for the much above normal hurricane season we were forecast to have. What's Next?? Looking ahead to the end of hurricane season, Dr. Sam Lillo created a graph of hurricane statistics brought to my attention yesterday by Dr. Roger Pielke, Jr .  August 15 is the vertical line at right and the star? As Roger explains it,  The figure above shows that historically, the median number of storms to occur after August 15th is about 12, the 90th percentile is about 17 storms, with the most being 22. If seasonal forecasts are going to verify, then the Atlantic needs to get busy — which is of course still very possible... According to the National Hurricane Center, other than Ernesto, no storm is forecast to occur in the Atlantic in th...