Hurricane Season 2024 wrap-up. It is amazing how many of the global warming alarmists' forecast fail. If they can't even get close the number of tropical storms six months ahead, don't put a lot of faith in their 60-year forecasts. 

Following up on yesterday's blog posting ...... Phil, with Colorado State U, is one of the foremost hurricane forecast experts in the United States.  Above from  Washington Post  last week. The X  (below) denotes an "area of disorganized thunderstorms" the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has followed, starting early last week, almost all the way across the Atlantic. It was the basis of The Weather Channel's and innumerable bloggers' hype.  Now, there is -- at most -- a 20% chance of a tropical depression (below a tropical storm or hurricane in significance) before it runs into mainland Mexico.  I don't think NHC can escape some of the blame for the hype. We don't have any consistent  skill at forecasting hurricanes 7 days and farther into the future. I don't see the need for 10+ days of "a 40% of a tropical depresssion" forecasts all the two-thirds of the way across the Atlantic.  We will never hesitate to bring a genuine threat to your atten...

Ernesto's eye is about 100 miles to the northeast of Bermuda and it is moving away from the island.  There's nothing else out there for the next seven days -- at least. That is very good news!

There is a weak tropical wave at the "X." As it moves west northwest, there is some possibility, 40%, Wednesday or after, that a tropical depression or tropical storm could form. The models are all over the place. I agree with the National Hurricane Center the chance is less than 50/50. If a tropical system forms, I do not believe there is a significant risk to the United States' coast before Saturday. However, if you do not have your hurricane season 2024 supplies as yet, now would be a good time.

Nothing expected the next seven days!