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Showing posts with the label Debby

2:20pm Debby Update: New Tornado Watch

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This is a dangerous situation. There has already been one fatality reported from today's tornadoes.  Pink = high risk  of flash flooding. This is a highly dangerous situation. High risks are rare but they account for more than half of the fatalities. Remember, turn around, don't drown.  Amber = tornado watch until 1pm.  Green = flash flood warning.  Maroon = flash flood warning. Yellow = tornado watch. Green = flood watch. Bright green = river flood warning. 

11:10pm Wednesday: Tornado Watch Updated + HIGH Flash Flood Risk Thursday!

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Reminder: You can always get updates from me  on Twitter/X   @usweatherexpert. ------------- Tornado Watch in Effect Until 8am Thursday   Dangerous "High Risk" of Flash Flooding Thursday and Thursday Night   The vast majority  of flash flood deaths occur in "high risk" areas, even though only about 4% of days have high risk forecasts.  Of the flash flood deaths, the major involve people who are safe and then drive or walk into a flooded area. Remember: Turn Around, Don't Drown!! -- original posting still valid -- Heavy rain from the remains of Debby continue and are forecast for the next seven days. Flooding Forecast The major flood risk will continue in the Southeast with a serious flood risk developing from Pennsylvania to New England.  Tornado Risk There is a low risk of tornadoes in North Carolina the rest of today. However, there is a significant  risk of tornadoes on Thursday in the brown area. 

Debby Rainfall and Flooding Update

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As of 10:50am, here is the situation. Rainfall to 10am Here are the storm total rainfall amounts to 10am for the Southeast.  Below is a closeup of the three areas of heaviest rainfalls. Additional Forecast Rainfall Some spots may receive up to a foot of rain, in addition to what has already fallen. Flooding Impacts Remember, the dots mean the flood forecast for rivers at a given location: Purple = record or major flooding Red = moderate Orange = mild flooding 

Forecast Flooding From Debby

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Flooding is the Greater Threat From What Will Be Tropical Storm Debby. While the rainfall amounts shown above are heavy with more than ten inches near the coast, if the models that show Debby slowing down off the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina are correct, there could be even heavier rain than shown above.  If you live in an area that has flooded in past, I urge you to make preparations to evacuate if necessary. At 9:30 EDT, the poorly defined center of what will be Debby is located near or just west of Havana moving toward the west or slightly north of west. 

11pm Friday: Tropical Depression Advisory

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 While the tropical storm watches and warning have not been changed, the path has been moved a bit to the west.  The storm is forecast to be Tropical Storm Debby when it reaches the Keys/Dry Tortugas Saturday morning and may be a hurricane given the longer period over the ocean before making landfall near the Florida Big Bend Monday morning. It wouldn't surprise me to see a hurricane watch be issued tomorrow morning for the Big Bend area. The storm surge forecast is below.  I'll have the next update Saturday morning.