Melissa is a Cat 3 with 105 mph winds. A hurricane warning is in effect for Bermuda. Hurricane conditions are expected on the island tonight.  Here is the path of hurricane force winds (brown) to the present time.

The latest forecast, which hasn't changed much, is below. The storm restrengthened over water this evening and will slam into southeast Cuba Wednesday morning.  The map below, in brown, shows the area that has experienced hurricane force (>75 mph winds). ---- Within the past half-hour, the center of Melissa exited the coast of Jamaica just east of Montego Bay. The winds have "weakened" to a still severe 145 mph and the pressure has risen to 906 mb. The storm should be roughly this intensity or a little weaker when it arrives in Cuba.  From Cuba, Melissa is forecast to sweep through the Turks & Cacaos Islands as well as the eastern Bahamas. There is also a hurricane watch for Bermuda.  1:05pm. Landfall officially occurred at 1:03pm EDT. Based on Hurricane Hunter data, wind gusts to 200 mph possible in higher elevations of Jamaica near the coast.  12:45am. Winds are 185 mph (!) and the central pressure is 892mb (!). The eye is moving inland through southwest Jam...

Satellite image from just before noon shows strengthening Imelda east of Florida and weakening Humberto east of North Carolina. The map shows the hurricane warning for Bermuda with the storm forecast to have winds of nearly 100 mph by the time it passes over or very near the Island. The brown area is the current region of hurricane force winds and the amber is the area of tropical storm force winds.  The storms will bring life-threatening ("high") rip currents to the East Coast (red) today and tomorrow. 

The eye is outlined in purple. You can see the outline of the island at the lower left part of the eye.  Ernesto will pass south or near of Newfoundland as a post-tropical low pressure system with 70 mph winds. 

 Currently, Ernesto has 100 mph winds that will weaken to 85 mph when the eye moves over the island tomorrow morning.  Below is the Bermuda radar as of 6:43pm (latest available). I've enhanced the eye in pink. 

Maximum winds with Ernesto are 100 mph but, hopefully, they will weaken to 85 mph when it is striking Bermuda.   Dangerous rip currents will occur along the U.S. East Coast.  Once past Bermuda, the storm may brush Newfoundland but is more likely to stay over the Atlantic. 

Note: Dangerous rip currents are expected along the U.S. Atlantic Coast starting tomorrow. Drownings almost always increase during these periods. 4pm EDT satellite image of Ernesto Hurricane warning continues for Bermuda.  The storm's current winds are 85 mph and are forecast to increase to 100 mph when it is in the vicinity of Bermuda. The satellite images the past hour indicate, perhaps, a better organized eye which would be a sign of increasing intensity.  I'll provide an update late tomorrow morning. 

A hurricane warning is in effect for Bermuda. People on the island are urged rush their hurricane preparations to completion.  From Bermuda, the storm will move southeast of the Maritimes in the open Atlantic.