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Update on Today's Tornado Risk

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The good news is there were so many thunderstorms yesterday and overnight they drove the front south and there is a much weakened tornado risk today than we thought yesterday. If you live in the 5% area, which includes DFW, OKC and Tulsa, please keep an eye on the weather if thunderstorms approach. Later today, I'll have an update on yesterday's forecast and we evaluate its quality.

Well, As Long As Leo Says the Science is Correct...

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We Have Been Fortunate Today

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Fake news alert: The tweet below was fake. It was of a tornado that occurred near Spearman, Texas.  I apologize for my error. Regardless, there was a tornado moving toward Salina and we were fortunate for the very little damage.  Lots of tornadoes that appear to have struck little. For example, this just missed Salina, Kansas, a good sized city.

7:55pm Update

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The tornado watch in the western half of Oklahoma has been replaced with this severe thunderstorm watch that -- annoyingly -- states "a couple of tornadoes are possible." Regardless, this is in effect until midnight. I do agree the probabilities of tornadoes in Kansas (except far northeast, see below) and Oklahoma have lessened. In Texas and from NE Kansas into NW Missouri (including Kansas City), there is still a chance of tornadoes and very large hail. This is going to be the final update on the blog tonight. I'll continue tweeting from time to time. Remember: Even after all of the tornadoes today, there is a chance again tomorrow.

Tornado Watch For Eastern Oklahoma, Including Tulsa

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This tornado watch is in effect until midnight. Across the central and southern Plains, numerous tornadoes have already occurred. There is still a good chance of additional tornadoes in Kansas and Oklahoma between now and at least 10pm. Continue to monitor the weather for your personal safety. My real-time coverage continues on Twitter @usweatherexpert .

PDS:Tornado Watch for Southern Kansas, Including Wichita

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The National Weather Service has issued a correction. The tornado watch below is a rare "Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch." A Tornado Watch   has been issued until 11pm for southern Kansas. It includes the Greater Wichita area. There is also the potential for hailstones up to 4" in diameter. Strong thunderstorms at 3:23pm are already approaching the southern border of Kansas from Oklahoma. At minimum, these storms are currently producing large hail. Thunderstorms are also developing northeast of Wichita which will move into the tornado watch area below (scroll down). Please scroll down for additional safety information. For additional storm information, follow me on Twitter @usweatherexpert . I do not  live-blog storms any longer.

Tornado Watch: Kansas and Missouri, Including Kansas City

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Another tornado watch is just out: This includes the Greater Kansas City area as well as all of northeast Kansas and part of northwest and west central Missouri. It is in effect until 10pm. Large hail is also a threat. Thunderstorms at 3pm are already beginning to develop.