Saturday, June 23, 2012

Tropical Troubles

According to the National Hurricane Center, there is an 80% likelihood we will have a tropical depression or worse in the Gulf in the next 48 hours.

Unfortunately, the computer models are all over the place as to its eventual point of landfall in about 4-5 days. The European, usually the best, has it striking the Texas coast.
Graphics from AccuWeather

The U.S. model depicts it striking Florida. 

And, there are models showing landfalls at various locations along the Gulf coast in between.  

One thing that seems certain is very heavy rain will fall with this slow-moving system wherever it makes landfall. Using the U.S. model to illustrate, the two arrows point to 20" totals (!) for the next seven days. The two maxima are surrounded by the yellow which is a forecast of 15 inches. 

So, what to do if you have plans to go to the Gulf states next week for vacation or business?  
  1. Keep an eye on the hurricane products
  2. Keep an eye on this blog.
  3. If you are flying, keep an eye out for waivers. United's are here
Waivers allow you to change your air travel plans without penalty. Or, you can get a full refund in certain circumstances.  

In addition, here is my Airline Survival Guide. Print it out and take it with you. 

If you decide to travel into these areas be proactive. Remember, these days the airlines are full. If you don't get rebooked quickly, you could get stranded. 

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