Central Great Plains Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Risk Update

Update: 3:50pm. National Weather Service has issued a tornado watch valid until 10pm. Note, that like me, they are forecasting "strong" tornadoes. I would not be surprised if they extended this farther to the south and west (see original posting).

-- original posting --

This is my forecast of the highest tornado risk from 4:30pm until 11pm. There is the possibility of strong tornadoes. 

Below is the NWS's forecast of damaging winds -- hatching is a forecast of gusts above 75 mph -- from 6pm until 1am. Power failures are likely on at least a scattered basis. 

Giant hail (≥ 2") is forecast to occur in the hatched areas.

I'll have an update on the flash flooding risk soon. 


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