Hurricane Matthew Update: 3:30pm Friday

The hurricane on the Jacksonville NWS radar 4:27pm EDT.

Here are the peak gusts in mph that I am forecasting (with help from the ECMWF and Dr. Ryan Maue) for the remainder of Matthew's path.

click to enlarge

The hurricane is weakening with a central pressure of 949 mph.

Flooding is likely in coastal areas. Here is the forecast for additional rainfall.

This rainfall plus the heavy rains of the last 30 days will allow trees to be uprooted much more readily. Power failures will be more widespread than would normally be the case with winds of these speeds.