If anything, Matthew is stronger / better organized since my last update. It is moving NNE and will bring catastrophic effects to Haiti and serious effects to the Dominican Republic.
I suspect the Hurricane Center will move its forecast path a bit farther to the west in its 10pm advisory.
There is no new global model data since my last but my thinking is pretty much the same. My preliminary landfall forecast is the purple highlighted coast. It could change.
If you live in this area, I suggest the following:
These are inexpensive preparations. While I'll have more if I can narrow the path and improve confidence, you may want to begin with these before the stores, etc., get crowded.
I can't post a schedule for the morning because there is a more immediate threat of tornadoes in the Great Plains that I will also be posting about.
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