Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Wheat Belt Rainfall Update

Things are looking good for the first substantial, widespread rain in the winter wheat belt in months.

Let's compare three forecasts valid from this evening through noon Monday.

US Global Forecast Model   The small gold area in northwest Kansas is ten inches but is likely due to the model parking a thunderstorm over a single spot and may be overdone.

European Model

and, the human forecast from the National Weather Service's Hydrometeorological Forecast Center.

This moisture is desperately needed. Below is a map showing how much rain is needed to break the drought. If these substantial rains indeed occur, they will improve prospects for winter wheat planting in September.
click to enlarge

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