Till now, I have resisted the temptation to write about the inane and misleading attempts to tie Hurricane Sandy to 'global warming,' preferring to concentrate on the more important and immediate issues involving the quality of the weather forecasts and recovery progress.
So, at least for the moment, I defer to Dr. Roger Pielke, Jr.'s comment on global warming and Sandy,
If you'd like to know why both of us believe that to be the case, click here for Roger's insightful Wall Street Journal article.
Anthony Watts' has a detailed explanation showing how, as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations have increased, U.S. hurricanes have decreased via research from Steven Goddard. That's right, decreased.
The bottom line: There is no scientific evidence that ties Sandy itself or increased rates of hurricanes in the U.S. or worldwide to "global warming."
- Note: If the traffic metrics are correct, we have over ten thousand first-time readers over the past ten days. So, because global warming/climate change/climate weirding, etc., etc. is so political let me briefly explain the state of the science:
- Yes, the earth is clearly warmer than thirty years ago.
- Earth's temperature the last 15 years has been flat. This is a surprising turn of events, they were expected to continue to rise.
- Most all of the solid scientists who believe global warming is a serious threat agree with the above that there is no solid evidence the disasters are increasing when corrected for inflation and wealth.
- Yes, the Arctic ice has been melting while Antarctic ice has been increasing.
- The Arctic ice melt seems to be more driven by soot darkening the ice rather than temperatures.
- The sun has been behaving oddly in recent years. Some believe cooling will result starting in one to two years.
- As to where earth's temperatures are headed from here, I have no idea. Neither does anyone else, especially with the solar uncertainty.
- Finally, I'm what is called (in the lexicon of global warming) a "lukewarmer." I believe humans, on balance, warm the planet. But, it is more gradual than Al Gore acolytes believe and, at present, there is nothing catastrophic about it.
I'm a board-certified consulting meteorologist and a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society.