Interested in All Things Weather?

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If you enjoy this blog, Mike Smith Enterprises has a variety of ways we serve people who have interests in weather. 

Photography
You can see my photos at Adobe Stock Photography, here. Whether advertising or editorial, we have photos that will suit your needs. 

Books
Warnings tells the story of how meteorologists like Dr. Ted Fujita and other brilliant, courageous scientists eliminated downburst airliner crashes, cut the tornado death rate by 95%, and other amazing accomplishments. It is an uplifting story that reads like a novel.

From a new review at Amazon: The book is easily readable and very informative. It is a keeper for my library. Great job.

When the Sirens Were Silent is the true story of the Joplin Tornado -- one of the worst in history. It also includes vital safety information for you and your family. Tornado Season 2022 is just underway as we saw last week. More tornadoes are quite likely this week. Please take the tornado safety advice to heart.

Live Presentations
Every presentation is different -- uniquely tailored to the audience. Great graphics.  Never "death by powerpoint." We do keynote presentations on how weather and climate affect people, society and business. Contact Mindy East for more information. 

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Hilary's Forecast Path Shifts West; Updated 9:20am PDT

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The forecast path of the center of Hilary has shifted a bit to the west. This increases the threat to the Southland, especially in terms of flooding.  Rainfall Note the heavy rains are forecast for Los Angeles County. Serious flash flooding may result. Because the forecast path has shifted to the west, that increases the threat of serious flooding in Los Angeles County north into Yosemite and the southern Sierra. It lessens the threat in Utah and western Arizona. While the threat of widespread flooding in Utah and Arizona lessens, note that some thunderstorms with localized heavy rain show up on the map.  In Nevada, the more western path increases the risk of serious flooding around Mt Charleston and into the central part of the state.  Here is the updated  (9am PDT) flash flood risk map. Wind There are already about 40,000 people without power in California, mostly in the center of the state.  The maps above are the peak gusts forecasted with the storm. The highest winds, in general,
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Dangerous Travel Conditions - People Reportedly Stranded

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-- Note, more current info available. Scroll up. --- Updated Information as of 8am PDT You are risking your life if you attempt to travel through the purple area.  While the rain has not begun in coastal California, I would urge you to use this time to make any preparations. Power outages have occurred already in southeast California. Here is the latest radar as of 7:55am PDT. As of 6:40am PDT , the radar indicates moderate to heavy rain falling over desert areas of Southern California and far western Arizona (click to enlarge).  Rainfall amounts for the 24 hours ending at 7am PDT show more than two inches have already fallen. There are reports from reliable sources that roads are already washed out and that people are stranded in isolated parts of the desert.  Below is a high-resolution computer model's rainfall forecast from 5am PDT to 11pm PDT Sunday. More than a foot of additional rain is forecast to fall. This will lead to catastrophic flooding.  Here is a map of current watc
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Update on Tornado and Wind Potential; 12 Noon PDT

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There was at least one tornado and at least one funnel cloud yesterday.  --- original forecast --- Hilary (the swirly symbol) continues to move NNW paralleling the coast of Baja California, Mexico. The area outlined in red has a significant risk of tornadoe s the rest of the afternoon.  Below is a list of peak wind gusts so far.  Peak winds may increase farther north as the afternoon progresses.  Addition at 12 noon PDT: Sure enough, winds have increased.  Note: If you are in the San Diego area, I recommend not  traveling east on I-8. Heavy rains may cause flash flooding that will involve the highway. 
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