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By Mike Smith - March 23, 2016

The area with a 5% probability (brown) is the significant threshold. If you live in this area, please keep an eye on the weather later today.

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More Flooding Plus a Tornado Risk in California

By Mike Smith - December 31, 2025

More heavy rain (snow in the mountains) forecast. Rains have already begun over the southern two-thirds of the state. See 3:15pm radar below. In addition, there is small risk of a tornado, especially tomorrow morning, in coastal areas of Southern California, shown in dark green.

Early Start to California Rainy Season

By Mike Smith - November 08, 2025

As much as 6 inches of precipitation (rain + the moisture content of snow) is forecast in the Sierra of California) during the next five days. Given the rain they've already had the past 30 days, it equates to an early start to the California rainy season.

Monday Tornado and Flood Forecast

By Mike Smith - September 14, 2026

The tornado forecast is unchanged from yesterday. The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes and the hatching indicates they could be strong. During the next three days, more than five inches of rain is forecast to fall in Iowa (orange). The result is a serious flood risk over Iowa and into northwest Missouri in the dark blue. In the pale blue, there is a lesser flood risk.

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