Tropical Storm Joaquin
The storm, based on satellite imagery, seems to be intensifying east of the Bahamas. The satellite image from below is from 2:15pm EDT.
We should have a much better idea late tonight and tomorrow morning as the Hurricane Hunters are just starting to investigate this storm. It will take a few hours to gather the data then about 10-12 hours for all of the computer models to make their forecasts.
Heavy Rain Events
There will be two periods of heavy rain between now and Monday over most of the region. Below I have placed a yellow circle on top of one of the computer models that attempts to forecast a "storm total rainfall." Other models have the center of the heaviest rains farther north than this model.
If you live in the yellow circle and if you live near a river or
stream or in a low-lying area, you should be making a plan
to leave the area if flooding develops. I urge you to
begin planning now.
Some areas within the yellow circle will likely see ten or more inches of rain by Sunday evening but I cannot yet be more specific than the circle as to location or amounts.
If I am correct as to how this storm will develop, then flooding will last well into next week.
What might preparations look like?
- Plenty of extra cash.
- A full tank of fuel for your vehicle.
- Freshly refilled prescriptions.
- Valuables gathered together so they can be quickly put into the trunk so you can leave quickly.
- A place to go: A relative's home on high ground, a motel, a public shelter, etc.
- Be prepared to put valuable items you cannot take with you on top of tables, on the second floor, or in the attic to hopefully protect them from floodwaters.
- If you evacuate, turn off the gas, water and electricity.
That is my advice for now. When we have more data, I will update again. You will also want to go to AccuWeather.com for the specific weather forecast for your location.