When I saw the email this morning there was now "officially" an El Nino in the Pacific, I was surprised (to say the least). I was not the only one.
here. We have been hearing about this alleged El Nino for more than a year and I've never seen it on the sea surface temperature maps. Let me offer some speculation as to what is really going on.
Take a look at these (I could have posted dozens of similar write-ups):
My best guess at what is going on is that NOAA would have lost face if no El Nino occurred after so many months of forecasting it since so many of its global warming allies were counting on it. Thus, we have the first political El Nino in history.