Updated: Look How Good This Forecast Was!

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Addition at 11:15am Monday. This is the NWS's product which shows the total amount of ice.
The white star in northern Mississippi is where the greatest amount of ice accumulated, 1.24" just east of Oxford, Mississippi. Compare to the map below which was ice effect's forecasts five days in advance. Note: the ice from Virginia to New Jersey fell in the time interval beyond the range of the forecast below. 

While this forecast wasn't perfect (West Virginia's ice would be forecast in later versions of the forecast), it provides lots of time for utilities to bring in crews from around the nation to speed the recovery. 

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This is the forecast on this blog Wednesday. It is from the NWS and where they expected the worst effects of the pending ice storm.
This, via AccuWeather is where the power outages are the worst at this time (Sunday afternoon).
At first glance they don't look the same because they are different base maps. But if you carefully trace the worst of the outages from east Texas to Tennessee, you can see the forecast is almost identical to the where the worst conditions were forecast. Amazing forecast. 

--- end original post ---


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