Dr. Judith Curry, a genuine climate scientist, discusses the scandal at NOAA regarding their temperature data and the effects of additional carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
After Saturday's high in SW OK at Magnum 99° and other records broken elsewhere, I have friend believing more into the climate change theory. Do you know what was the main factors that caused the much above normal temps on Saturday?
There is no question that the warmer climate of the last 20 years plays a role in the warm weather of the last couple of days. I don't think this could have occurred in the 1960's, even give identical meteorological conditions.
Question is:
-- How much of this is recovery from the Little Ice Age?
-- How much of this is natural climate change?
-- How much of this is caused by human-inserted greenhouse gasses?
More heavy rain (snow in the mountains) forecast. Rains have already begun over the southern two-thirds of the state. See 3:15pm radar below. In addition, there is small risk of a tornado, especially tomorrow morning, in coastal areas of Southern California, shown in dark green.
[Note, no more updates to this story as of 1pm Tuesday; there is an updated story here .] ...so said the chief executive of Kerr County, Texas, Rob Kelly. He went on to say, "We had no reason to believe that this was going to be anything like what's happened here, none whatsoever." I'm sorry to report that he is probably correct. The flood was underforecast and the "emergency" warnings were later than they could have been. In fairness, as of the time of this update, 1:30pm Monday, the U.S. Geological Survey has determined this was the highest crest on the Guadalupe River at Hunt, Texas, since the river gauge was installed. As of 1p Tuesday , 105 have been confirmed to have been killed and "dozens" are missing. Those numbers imply a total death toll near 130. This past autumn, Hurricane Helene killed 249. In 2011, a single tornado killed 161 in Joplin. We must stop these mega-disasters! This is another tragic example of why America desperately n...
2am While the risk of tornadoes may continue during the night, this will have to end my coverage. Note the risk of tornadoes farther east later today. 1:35am Wednesday: Tornado watch will likely be issued for the outlined area, including the Kansas City Metro. Make sure you have a way to receive tornado warnings the rest of the night. 11:55p Tuesday: New tornado watch has just been issued for most south central (including Wichita), southeast and east central Kansas. This watch is in effect until 7am Wednesday. This is the overnight tornado threat we've been talking about. I am now providing additional updates on Twitter/X @usweatherexpert . --- original posting (still valid) --- Now until 7a Wednesday The tornado risk has decreased in Oklahoma south of I-40. 7am to Noon Wednesday For Wednesday morning, there is a significant chance of tornadoes in western and, especially, northern Missouri. It is unusual to have tornadoes during the morning....
After Saturday's high in SW OK at Magnum 99° and other records broken elsewhere, I have friend believing more into the climate change theory. Do you know what was the main factors that caused the much above normal temps on Saturday?
ReplyDeleteThere is no question that the warmer climate of the last 20 years plays a role in the warm weather of the last couple of days. I don't think this could have occurred in the 1960's, even give identical meteorological conditions.
ReplyDeleteQuestion is:
-- How much of this is recovery from the Little Ice Age?
-- How much of this is natural climate change?
-- How much of this is caused by human-inserted greenhouse gasses?
Answers? We don't know.